Thursday, November 10, 2016

2017 NFL Draft: Mock Draft 1.0 Mid-season mock

Talent over need in the first round for the top teams 




First Round

1. CLEVELAND BROWNS (0-10)

JONATHAN ALLEN-DE/5T/DT/EDGE-BAMA
6-3/294
NFL Comparison: Michael Bennett/Fletcher Cox

The Browns NEED a QB, but with two 1st round picks and not much separating the three top signal callers the Browns can afford to take a QB with their second 1st round pick.

The NFL now values guys that can rush the passer from the inside as much as edge rushers. Guys like JJ Watt, Aaron Donald, Fletcher Cox and 2016 Rookie of the Year candidate Joey Bosa have paved the way for interior pass rushers.

Allen is so valuable because you can literally line him up anywhere on the defensive line and he will have an impact. He led the SEC in sacks last year with 12 and this year already has 7.5 despite facing double teams on nearly every play. The Browns need an impact guy on the defensive line. Allen has the chance to change an entire defense with his special skill set.




2. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (1-8)
MYLES GARRETT-EDGE/DE/OLB-TEXAS A&M
6-5/262
NFL Comparison: Jason Pierre-Paul/Aldon Smith 
The NFL still does love its edge rushers and Garrett is the clear cut best true outside pass rusher in this years class. Garrett vs. Allen will be debated a lot this year similar to Clowney vs. Mack in 2014 or Suh vs. McCoy in 2010. Garrett may go number one if he tests well come April.

Like the Browns, the 49ers can afford to pass on a QB here because they have 10 overall picks so they have enough ammunition to trade back into the first if they need to. However the talent of Garrett here is too good to pass on.  




3. CHICAGO BEARS (2-7)
DESHONE KIZER-QB-NOTRE DAME
6-5/230
NFL Comparison: Steve McNair/Blake Bortles
With the top two impact defenders gone, the Bears should go QB here. Kizer, Deshaun Watson and Mitch Trubisky will all battle from now until April to become the first QB off the board. Kizer has a clear cut size advantage over the other two. The Bears will need a strong armed QB to play in those cold weather games. Kizer, an Ohio native, went west one state to Notre Dame and may end up going west one more state to play in Chicago.

4. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (2-7)
JABRILL PEPPERS-S/CB/LB/DB-MICHIGAN 
6-1/208
NFL Comparison: Rod Woodson/Tyrann Mathieu 
So far it looks like Jacksonville hit a home run last year with Jalen Ramsey. While he has been great, the team as a whole has struggled. Peppers is the last elite defender left on the board. Peppers and Ramsey could form a corner/safety tandem that could be as good as Sherman/Thomas in Seattle or Peters/Berry in Kansas City. One thing is certain, the Jags need playmakers everywhere and Peppers is the most versatile player in the country.



5. NEW YORK JETS (3-7)
DEREK BARNETT -EDGE/DE-TENNESSEE 
6-3/268
NFL Comparison: Everson Griffen
It may come as a surprise, but Barnett is actually the current SEC leader in sacks over both Allen and Garrett. The Jets have a great interior rush led by Leonard Williams but they need someone from the outside that can get pressure on the Tom Brady's of the world.

Obviously the Jets main need is at QB, but given all the veterans on offense with Brandon Marshall, Eric Decker and Matt Forte, it would make sense for the Jets to either trade for Tony Romo or sign Jay Cutler next offseason.

6. CAROLINA PANTHERS (3-6)
LEONARD FOURNETTE-RB-LSU
6-1/230
NFL Comparison: Le'Veon Bell/Steven Jackson
Carolina may have bigger needs (CB and DE) but Fournette is a special player. Cam and him could form the best QB-RB duo in the league for the next five year (until we get to the Colts)

7. SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (4-6)
JUJU SMITH SCHUSTER-WR-USC 
6-3/221
NFL Comparison: Allen Robinson/Dez Bryant 
Remember that time when Keenan Allen was healthy? Yeah me neither. Smith-Schuster is a local SoCal product that can provide the Chargers a physical and healthy WR.


8. CINCINNATI BENGALS (3-5-1)
CAM ROBINSON-OT-BAMA
6-5/327
NFL Comparison: Jason Peters at LT/Marcus Gilbert at RT
The Bengals love addressing the trenches early and often. Robinson is the clear cut best offensive line prospect in the draft despite some character concerns stemming from an off-season arrest. The Bengals also have a history of taking chances on character risk guys.


9. BUFFALO BILLS (4-5) 
MIKE WILLIAMS-WR-CLEMSON 
6-3/221
NFL Comparison: Alshon Jeffery/Michael Floyd
Sammy Watkins is a legit option when healthy but he's always hurt and Robert Woods would be better as a #3 option. Williams can provide the Bills the #1 WR they have been searching for.

10. TENNESSEE TITANS 
VIA PRE DRAFT TRADE WITH THE LOS ANGELES RAMS (4-5)
MARLON HUMPHREY-CB-BAMA
6-1/199
NFL Comparison: Josh Norman 
The Titans have been a pleasant surprise this year, but could still use a true #1 corner. Humphrey has the incredible length and speed that teams look for in a cover corner.

11. PITTSBURGH STEELERS (4-5)  
TIM WILLIAMS-OLB/EDGE-BAMA
6-4/237
NFL Comparison: 
Former first round picks Jarvis Jones and Bud Dupree have been underachievers. Williams is a perfect fit in Pittsburgh as a 3-4 rush linebacker

12. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (4-5)
DALVIN COOK-RB-FSU
6-0/206
NFL Comparison: DeMarco Murray/Edgerrin James 
Andrew Luck meet your new best friend. Yes the offensive line is terrible but they can spend 3-4 picks on it in rounds 2-7. Cook is a game changer that the Colts have lacked at RB.

13. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (4-5)
JAMAL ADAMS-S/DB-LSU
6-1/211
NFL Comparison: Eric Berry 
This is what happens when you have Tampa's current secondary:


Enter Jamal Adams to fix it. Adams is a big safety with elite athletic ability and size to cover both TE's and top WR's

14. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (4-5)
QUINCY WILSON-CB-FLORIDA
6-1/213
NFL Comparison: Xavier Rhodes/Richard Sherman 
Wilson is a big corner that can matchup with guys like Julio Jones and Mike Evans twice a year. The Saints defense is horrendous and needs help at every level.

15. GREEN BAY PACKERS (4-5)
MALIK MCDOWELL-DT-MICHIGAN ST.
6-6/280
NFL Comparison: John Henderson 
The value is too good to pass on McDowell here. He fits perfectly in the Packers 3-4 as 5 or 3 technique. Current LDE and former first round pick Datone Jones has been average at best and is a free agent this year.

16. ARIZONA CARDINALS (4-4-1)
TEEZ TABOR-CB-FLORIDA
6-0/199
NFL Comparison: Aqib Talib/Vontae Davis
Most mocks have the Cards getting a QB to find Carson Palmer's successor. I think they add another play maker in the secondary to help Patrick Peterson and the Honey Badger.

17.TENNESSEE TITANS (5-5)
MALIK HOOKER-S/DB-OHIO ST. 
6-1/205
NFL Comparison: Malcolm Jenkins
The Titans would be wise to upgrade their secondary with both of their first round picks as they are 22nd against the pass despite having two good pass rushers in Brian Orakpo and Derrick Morgan. Hooker has the size and range to play both in the box and in high coverage.


18. MIAMI DOLPHINS (5-4)
REUBEN FOSTER-LB-BAMA
6-1/240
NFL Comparison: CJ Mosley
The Dolphins are 30th against the run. Foster is exactly what they need at MLB. He is a hard hitting run stopper.

19. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
VIA PRE DRAFT TRADE WITH THE MINNESOTA VIKINGS (5-4) 
JOHN ROSS-WR-WASHINGTON
5-11/179
NFL Comparison: DeSean Jackson
Jordan Matthews is a great possession receiver but Nelson Agholor hasn't proved to be a legit #2 deep threat. Ross is the best deep threat in this year's draft class. He is shooting up draft boards and will keep rising come Combine time if he runs a sub 4.3 forty.

20. CLEVELAND BROWNS
VIA PRE DRAFT TRADE WITH THE PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (5-4)
DESHAUN WATSON-QB-CLEMSON 
6-2/210
NFL Comparison: Alex Smith/Russell Wilson 
Watson is a great leader that is mature, smart and has all the intangibles that one looks for in a starting QB. He is basically the opposite of Johnny Manziel. But make no mistake, Watson is limited with his size and arm. His running ability is impressive but he needs to become a better pocket passer if he wants to have a 10+ year career. The Browns need a QB. If they pass on one early they better get one with their second first round pick.

21. BALTIMORE RAVENS (5-4) AFC North Leader
DESMOND KING-ZCB-IOWA
5-11/200
NFL Comparison: Stephon Gilmore
After winning the Jim Thorpe Award (Best College Defensive Back) in 2015, King surprised many people by returning to school. He has continued to impress and is among the best in a very good DB draft. He would fit perfect as a zone corner in Baltimore opposite Jimmy Smith. The Ravens could use a physical, quick corner to cover guys like Antonio Brown and Corey Coleman.


22. DETROIT LIONS (5-4)
CHARLES HARRIS-EDGE/DE-MISSOURI 
6-3/255
NFL Comparison: Ryan Kerrigan 
Current LDE Devin Taylor is a free agent and may get more money on the open market than the Lions will be willing to shell out. Harris could provide the Lions another pass rusher opposite Ziggy Ansah.

23. WASHINGTON REDSKINS (5-3-1)
ZACH CUNNINGHAM-LB-VANDERBILT 
6-4/230
NFL Comparison: Sean Lee
Cunningham is a straight up tackling machine. The Redskins are once again in playoff contention but their key weakness is their run defense as they are 26th against the run.

24. HOUSTON TEXANS (6-3)
LOWELL LOTULELEI-NT/DT-UTAH
6-2/310
NFL Comparison: Steve McLendon
JJ Watt faces double and sometimes triple teams on every play because no one else on the line scares an offense. Vince Wilfork turns 35 in November and can only play limited snaps at best. Lotulelei is a traditional run stopping nose with great power and leverage.

25. ATLANTA FALCONS (6-4)
DEMARCUS WALKER-DE/EDGE-FSU
6-4/280
NFL Comparison: Cameron Jordan 
The Falcons need another pass rusher to help 2015 first round pick Vic Beasley. Walker is having a great year and is leading the ACC in sacks. He would fit well in Atlanta's 4-3 scheme.

26. NEW YORK GIANTS (6-3)
RAEKWON MCMILLAN-LB-OHIO ST. 
6-2/243
NFL Comparison: Bobby Wagner
The Giants have arguably the worst LB core in the league. McMillan is the new prototype LB with the ability to make tackles and cover in space.

27. DENVER BRONCOS (7-3)
PAT ELFLEIN-G/C-OHIO ST. 
6-3/300
NFL Comparison: Ryan Kalil 
The Broncos need help on the interior. Elflein is an experienced player that comes from a culture of winning.

28. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (7-2)
JARRAD DAVIS-LB-FLORIDA
6-2/230
NFL Comparison: Lawrence Timmons
Derrick Johnson continues to play at a high level even at age 33, but he needs help on the inside. Davis is a highly skilled player and mature leader. He is the type of guy Andy Ried loves.

29. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (6-2-1)
CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY-RB/KR-STANFORD
6-0/202
NFL Comparison: Reggie Bush/Percy Harvin
Seattle offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell was able to get the best out of Percy Harvin's unique skill set and he could do the same with the electrifying McCaffrey



30. OAKLAND RAIDERS (7-2)
CARLOS WATKINS-DT-CLEMSON 
6-3/305
NFL Comparison: Sharrif Floyd
The Raiders defense could use some youth on the interior to complement Khalil Mack and company. Watkins is very athletic for his size and is a solid against both the run and pass.

31. DALLAS COWBOYS (8-1) 
Projected Super Bowl Loser
SIDNEY JONES-CB-WASHINGTON
6-1/180
NFL Comparison: Sam Shields 
Jones is a long, athletic corner that is rising up draft boards. He is Washington's best defender on arguably the best defense in the country.

32. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (7-2) 
Projected Super Bowl Winner
CARL LAWSON-EDGE/DE/OLB-AUBURN 
6-2/253
NFL Comparison: Cliff Avril 
The Patriots top three pass rushers are free agents so it will make a lot of sense to take a pass rusher here. Lawson has top ten upside but has had injury issues. The Patriots never shy away from risk if the talent is there. According to Pro Football Focus, he is averaging a sack, hit or hurry every 4.9 times he rushes the passer/

Second Round

33. CLEVELAND BROWNS (0-10)
DAN FEENEY-G/C-INDIANA
6-4/311
NFL Comparison: TJ Lang

34. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (1-8)
MITCH TRUBISKY-QB-UNC
6-3/220
NFL Comparison: Matt Ryan/Kirk Cousins 

35. CHICAGO BEARS (2-7)
ISAIAH FORD-WR-VIRGINIA TECH  
6-2/195
NFL Comparison: Roddy White

36. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (2-7)
MIKE MCGLINCHEY-OT-NOTRE DAME
6-7/310
NFL Comparison: Nate Solder

37. NEW YORK JETS (3-7)
OJ HOWARD-TE-BAMA
6-6/242
NFL Comparison: Greg Olsen  

38. CAROLINA PANTHERS (3-6)
CORDREA TANKERSLEY-CB-CLEMSON 
6-1/200
NFL Comparison: Micah Hyde

39. SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (4-6)
RYAN RAMCZYK-OT-WISCONSIN
6-6/300
NFL Comparison: Joe Staley

40. CINCINNATI BENGALS (3-5-1)
CALEB BRANTLEY-DT/NT-FLORIDA
6-2/314
NFL Comparison: Marcell Dareus

41. LOS ANGELES RAMS (4-5)
COREY DAVIS-WR-WESTERN MICHIGAN 
6-3/213


42. PITTSBURGH STEELERS (4-5)  
TRE'DAVIOUS WHITE-CB-LSU
6-0/197

43. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (4-5)
QUENTON NELSON-OG-NOTRE DAME
6-5/325

44. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (4-5)
BUCKY HODGES-TE-VIRGINIA TECH  
6-7/257

45. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (4-4)
TAKKARIST MCKINLEY-EDGE/OLB/SLB-UCLA
6-4/240

46. GREEN BAY PACKERS (4-4)
D'ONTA FOREMAN-RB-TEXAS
6-1/249

47. BUFFALO BILLS (4-5) 
TACO CHARLTON-5T/DE/DT-MICHIGAN 
6-6/275

48. ARIZONA CARDINALS (4-4-1)
BRAD KAAYA-QB-MIAMI
6-4/215

49. CLEVELAND BROWNS
VIA PRE DRAFT TRADE WITH THE TENNESSEE TITANS (5-5)
ANTHONY WALKER-LB-NORTHWESTERN
6-1/235

50. MINNESOTA VIKINGS (5-4)
NICK CHUBB-RB-GEORGIA
5-10/228

51. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (5-4)
ADOREE JACKSON-CB/KR-USC
5-11/185

52. MIAMI DOLPHINS (5-4)
DAWUANE SMOOT-EDGE/DE-ILLINOIS
6-3/265

53. BALTIMORE RAVENS (5-4) 
MARQUIS HAYNES-EDGE/SLB/OLB-OLE MISS
6-3/222


54. DETROIT LIONS (5-4)
ROYCE FREEMAN-RB-OREGON
6-0/229

55. WASHINGTON REDSKINS (5-3-1)
VITA VEA-NT/DT-WASHINGTON
6-4/346


56. HOUSTON TEXANS (6-3)
MARCUS MAYE-S/DB-FLORIDA
6-0/207


57. ATLANTA FALCONS (6-4)
CONOR MCDERMOTT-OT-UCLA
6-9/310

58. NEW YORK GIANTS (6-3)
JAKE BUTT-TE-MICHIGAN 
6-6/250

59. DENVER BRONCOS (7-3)
DEDE WESTBROOK-WR-OKLAHOMA
6-0/176 

60. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (7-2)
ETHAN POCIC-C/G-LSU
6-7/302

61. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (6-2-1)
MASON COLE-C/G/OT-MICHIGAN 
6-5/305

62. OAKLAND RAIDERS (7-2)
BUDDA BAKER-FS/NCB-WASHINGTON
5-10/180

63. DALLAS COWBOYS (8-1)
SOLOMON THOMAS-DE/EDGE-STANFORD
6-3/256

64. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (7-2)
MARSHON LATTIMORE-CB-OHIO ST. 
6-0/192





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