Thursday, August 13, 2015

2015 NBA FREE AGENCY REVIEW: Tiers 5-9



Tier 5: Solid veteran starters 

This tier was a mixed bag in terms of money they received on the open market. Wes Matthews, Robin Lopez, Omer Asik and Amir Johnson all received more than their market value. Thad Young was right at market value and everyone else was either below market value or took less to play for a title contender. 

The Spurs got David West on a vet minimum deal while the Clippers got Paul Pierce and Josh Smith on cheap deals. Both teams have championship expectations in 2016. 


Rajon Rondo and Arron Afflalo singed one year "prove it" deals with Sacramento and New York respectively.  JR Smith is likely to do the same thing in  Lou Williams, Patrick Beverly and Rodney Stuckey will all provide their teams with an impact player off the bench. 



25. RAJON RONDO
Signed with SACRAMENTO
PG (17-22)
6-1/186
AGE: 29
Possible Destinations: SAC, LAL
Market Value:
Solid/average point guard, somewhere between Jrue Holiday's 4 year/41 million and Ricky Rubio's 4 year/55 million. 

Sacramento was really the only team interested and they got him at a decent price. If he does well next year, he could see a contract similar to Rubio's deal. I can't wait to see how DeMarcus Cousins, Rudy Gay and Rondo try to play together. The situation has disaster written all over it. 


CONTRACT: 1 yr(s) / $9,500,000

AVERAGE SALARY: $9,500,000

 


26. WES MATTHEWS

Signed with DALLAS 
SG (8-16)
6-5/214
AGE: 28
Possible Destinations: NY, DAL, TOR, ATL, IND, BOS
Market Value:
Good shooting guard, somewhere between Andre Iguodala's 4 year/48 million and Eric Gordon's 4 year/58 million.

He got more than 4 million per year than what Gordon got a few summer's ago. There is no realistic way that Matthews will live up to this near max deal. Matthews is a GOOD player, but it's an absolute joke that he will make more money than James Harden, Jimmy Butler and Klay Thompson next year. Those are the three best shooting guards in the league. Matthews is the 8th-10th best shooting guard when healthy. 


CONTRACT: 4 yr(s) / $70,060,026
AVERAGE SALARY: $17,515,007


27. THAD YOUNG

Re-signed with BROOKLYN 
PF (15-20), SF (11-18)
6-8/220
AGE: 27
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with BRK
Market Value:
Good small forward, somewhere between Nic Batum's 4 year/46 million and Rudy Gay's 3 year/40 million, nearly identical in annual average to Gay's contract. The Nets traded Deron Williams and Joe Johnson is entering his final year on his contract. Young and Brook Lopez are now the centerpiece of the Nets core. 

CONTRACT: 4 yr(s) / $54,000,000

AVERAGE SALARY: $13,500,000



28. ROBIN LOPEZ

Signed with New York 
C (16-20)
7-0/265
AGE: 27
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with POR, MIL, NO, NY, BOS 
Market Value:
Role playing defensive center, 4 years/36 million 

Lopez signed for 4 million more than the average for a role playing defensive center. I guess the Knicks feel he can be much more than that. He is the second highest paid player on the Knicks behind only Carmelo Anthony. 


CONTRACT: 4 yr(s) / $54,015,500

AVERAGE SALARY: $13,503,875



29. LOU WILLIAMS

Signed with the LOS ANGELES LAKERS 
SG (12-20)
6-1/175
AGE: 28
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with TOR, SAC, LAL, NY, BRK
Market Value:
Solid shooting guard, somewhere between Alec Burks' 4 years 41 million and Andre Iguodala's 4 year/48 million

The problem with Williams is his size, as he isn't big enough to be a starting shooting guard. This decreased his market value. 7 million per season seems like a good bargain for the Lakers. They now have one of the deepest guard groups in the NBA.  


CONTRACT: 3 yr(s) / $21,000,017
AVERAGE SALARY: $7,000,006





30. DAVID WEST

Signed with San Antonio 
PF (15-20)
6-9/250
AGE: 35
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with IND, NY, SA wasn't on my list  
Market Value:
Good veteran power forward, Zach Randolph 2 years/20 million and Dirk Nowitzki 3 years/25 million, like Z-Bo and Dirk, may take a smaller contract to play for a winner. 

David West wants to win a title, plain and simple. He left over 10 million on the table to leave the Pacers and sign with the Spurs. 


CONTRACT: 2 yr(s) / $3,050,846

AVERAGE SALARY: $1,525,423



31. JOSH SMITH

Signed with the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS 
PF (15-20)
6-9/225
AGE: 29
3 year games played average: 61.3
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with HOU, LAC wasn't on my list  
Market Value:
Good veteran power forward, Zach Randolph 2 years/20 million and Dirk Nowitzki 3 years/25 million, like Z-Bo and Dirk, may take a smaller contract to play for a winner

Smith took a one year deal with the Clippers with the opportunity to play for a winner and compete for a title. He is still getting paid on the massive contract he signed with Detroit a few years ago on the "Stretch Provision" so money wasn't as big of a factor as playing for a winner. He will be a solid backup at both forward spots for the Clippers. 


CONTRACT: 1 yr(s) / $1,499,187
AVERAGE SALARY: $1,499,187



32. PATRICK BEVERLY
Re-signed with HOUSTON 
PG (23-30)
6-1/185
AGE: 27 
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with HOU, DAL, SAC
Market Value:
Below average starting point guard, somewhere between Jose Calderon's 4 year/29 million and George Hill's 5 year/40 million

Given his injury history, Beverly did the smart thing. He signed a longer deal that pays him nearly 18 million guaranteed. The Rockets traded for Ty Lawson so Beverly will come off the bench next season. 


CONTRACT: 4 yr(s) / $23,027,026

AVERAGE SALARY: $5,756,757
SF (11-17)
6-7/235
AGE: 37
Possible Destinations: LAC, Re-sign with WAS, return and retire in BOS
Market Value:
May take Vet minimum or part of mid-level exception to sign with the Clippers, may want at least 6 million to stay with Washington. 

Pierce is now reunited with old Celtics coach Doc Rivers. The Clippers have title aspirations with the additions of Pierce and Josh Smith.  


CONTRACT: 3 yr(s) / $10,583,760

AVERAGE SALARY: $3,527,920



34. JR SMITH-CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Still unsigned
SG (15-20)
6-6/220
AGE: 30 in September
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with CLV, DAL, ATL, BOS, SAC
Market Value:
Solid shooting guard, somewhere between Alec Burks' 4 years 41 million and Andre Iguodala's 4 year/48 million


35. ARRON AFFLALO

Signed with New York 
SG (15-20)
6-5/215
AGE: 29
Possible Destinations: NY, DAL, LAC
Market Value:
Solid shooting guard, somewhere between Alec Burks' 4 years 41 million and Andre Iguodala's 4 year/48 million

Afflalo essentially signed a one year prove it deal as his two year deal has a player option after one year. If he plays well, he could see Wes Matthews' money with the NBA salary cap skyrocketing  next summer. He will have a chance to be the Knicks second leading scorer behind Melo. He and Melo have played together before in Denver. 





CONTRACT: 2 yr(s) / $16,000,000

AVERAGE SALARY: $8,000,000


36. RODNEY STUCKEY

Re-signed with INDIANA 
6-5/210
AGE: 29
3 year games played average: 73.3
Possible Destinations:  Re-sign with IND, CHI,SAC, HOU 
Market Value:
Solid shooting guard, somewhere between Alec Burks' 4 years 41 million and Andre Iguodala's 4 year/48 million

Stuckey took the same exact deal as Louis Williams and will compete with Williams for the 6th Man of the Year Award in 2016. The Pacers signed Monta Ellis to start at shooting guard. Stuckey can contribute at both guard spots and provides veteran leadership to a core that lost veterans David West and Luis Scola. Indiana will also experiment with playing a three guard (small ball) lineup of George Hill, Stuckey and Ellis along with Paul George at power forward. 


CONTRACT: 3 yr(s) / $21,000,000

AVERAGE SALARY: $7,000,000


37. OMER ASIK

Re-signed with NEW ORLEANS 
C (20-23) 
7-0/255
AGE: 29 
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with NO, MIL, ATL 
Market Value:
Role playing defensive center, just under 4 years/36 million 

Like Robin Lopez, Asik is making a lot more than an average defensive playing center. Asik will need to have a good year in order for the Pelicans to make it back to the playoffs. 


CONTRACT: 5 yr(s) / $57,977,525

AVERAGE SALARY: $11,595,505


38. AMIR JOHNSON

Signed with BOSTON
PF (21-25) 
6-9/210
AGE: 28
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with TOR, SAC, LAL, BOS
Market Value:
Average/below average starting power forward, somewhere around Channing Frye's 4 year/32 million 

Johnson got a little more than he deserved. GM Danny Ainge thinks he is a "winning player"  Johnson has a chance to start at either the four or five next season. 


CONTRACT: 2 yr(s) / $24,000,000
AVERAGE SALARY: $12,000,000



Tier 6: Role playing defensive specialists/sharpshooters 


Market Value:

Between PJ Tucker's 3 years 16 million and JJ Redick's 4 year/27.75 million, both contract are close to the full mid-level exception. 

Shumpert ended up getting the most money of this tier followed by Brewer, Crowder, Belineli and Green. 

39. COREY BREWER
Re-signed with HOUSTON 
SG/SF 
6-9/186
AGE: 29
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with HOU, NY, BOS

CONTRACT: 3 yr(s) / $23,420,913

AVERAGE SALARY: $7,806,971


40. IMAN SHUMPERT
Re-signed with CLEVELAND
(RESTRICTED)
SG/SF
6-5/220
AGE: 25
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with CLV, LAL, DAL, MIL

CONTRACT: 4 yr(s) / $40,000,000

AVERAGE SALARY: $10,000,000


41. JAE CROWDER

Resigned with Boston
SF
6-/228
AGE: 25 in July
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with BOS, LAL, DAL, MIL

CONTRACT: 5 yr(s) / $35,000,000

AVERAGE SALARY: $7,000,000


42. MARCO BELINELLI

Signed with SACRAMENTO
SG/SF
6-5/215
AGE: 29
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with SA, CHR, GS, SAC wasn't on my list  

CONTRACT: 3 yr(s) / $19,000,000

AVERAGE SALARY: $6,333,333


43. GERALD GREEN 

Signed with Miami 
SF 
6-8/210
AGE: 29
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with PHO, BOS, LAC, DAL, MIA wasn't on my list 

CONTRACT: 1 yr(s) / $1,356,146

AVERAGE SALARY: $1,356,146




Tier 7: Rotational Bigs 


Market Value:
Around Patrick Patterson's 3 years/18.1 million, around the full mid-level exception

Kostas Koufos, Al-Farouq Aminu and Ed Davis all got more than the full mid level exception. Aminu and Davis were essentially over paid by Portland with the money left over from losing LaMarcus Aldridge.  

Brendan Wright received a mid-level deal while Luis Scola, Jordan Hill and Brandon Bass received a little bit less than that.  


44. ED DAVIS 

Signed with Portland 
PF/C
6-10/240
AGE: 29
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with LAL, DAL, LAC, MIL

CONTRACT: 3 yr(s) / $19,997,700

AVERAGE SALARY: $6,665,900

45. BRENDAN WRIGHT

Signed with Memphis
C/PF
6-10/230
AGE: 27
3 year games played average: 65.6
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with PHO

CONTRACT: 3 yr(s) / $17,129,640

AVERAGE SALARY: $5,709,880


46. LUIS SCOLA

Signed with Toronto 
PF 
6-9/240 
AGE: 35
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with IND, take less and go to a contender

CONTRACT: 1 yr(s) / $2,900,000

AVERAGE SALARY: $2,900,000


47. JORDAN HILL 

Signed with INDIANA 
C/PF 
6-10/235
AGE: 28 
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with LAL, POR, NY, BOS

CONTRACT: 1 yr(s) / $4,000,000

AVERAGE SALARY: $4,000,000


48. KOSTA KOUFOS 

Signed with SACRAMENTO

7-0/265
AGE: 26
Possible Destinations: BOS, ORL, SAC, MIL 

CONTRACT: 4 yr(s) / $32,879,000

AVERAGE SALARY: $8,219,750


49. AL-FAROUQ AMINU 

Signed with Portland 
PF/SF 
6-9/220
AGE: 25 in September 
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with DAL, POR, TOR, LAL, NY 

CONTRACT: 4 yr(s) / $30,000,000

AVERAGE SALARY: $7,500,000


50. BRANDON BASS 
Signed with the LOS ANGELES LAKERS 
PF 
6-8/250
AGE: 30
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with BOS, POR, TOR

CONTRACT: 2 yr(s) / $6,000,000

AVERAGE SALARY: $3,000,000





Tier 8: Past prime value guys 



Market Value:

All will be looking to take the veteran minimum or part of a contender's bi-annual exception or mid-level exception. 

Minnesota is basically paying Kevin Garnett 8 million per year to be a mentor to Karl Anthony Towns. If Towns becomes a superstar, then I guess it is worth the price.  Manu Ginobili and Mike Dunleavy stayed with their current teams while Amar's Stoudemire signed with Miami.  Carlos Boozer remains unsigned.  

All five guys will see very limited minutes next year during the regular season. The value of these player will come during the post season, when veteran leadership and depth is needed the most.  


51. MANU GINOBILI 

Re-sined with SAN ANTONIO 
SG/SF
6-6/205
AGE: 38 
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with SA or RETIRE 

CONTRACT: 2 yr(s) / $5,839,050

AVERAGE SALARY: $2,919,525


52. MIKE DUNLEAVY

Re-signed with CHICAGO 
SF (23-26)
6-9/230
AGE: 35 in September
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with CHI, CLV, WAS, SA

CONTRACT: 3 yr(s) / $14,512,500

AVERAGE SALARY: $4,837,500


53. AMAR'E STOUDEMIRE

Signed with Miami 
PF/C
6-10/245
AGE: 32
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with DAL, PHO, NY

CONTRACT: 1 yr(s) / $1,499,187

AVERAGE SALARY: $1,499,187


54. CARLOS BOOZER-LOS ANGELES LAKERS  

Still unsigned
PF 
6-9/258
AGE: 33
Possible Destinations: Re-sign LAL, DAL, MIA, BRK, HOU, SA 


55. KEVIN GARNETT 

Re-signed with-MINNESOTA
PF/C
6-11/253
AGE: 39
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with MIN

CONTRACT: 2 yr(s) / $16,500,000

AVERAGE SALARY: $8,250,000


Tier 9: Solid backup point guards

Market Value:
Best back-up in the league is Shaun Livingston, his contract is 3 years/16.6 million, solid backups like DJ Augustin and Jerryd Bayless make 3.0 million per year. 

Here is how these guys ended up in terms of average salary ranking among this tier: 
1. Cory Joseph: $7,472,500 
2. CJ Watson: $5,000,000 
3. Jameer Nelson: $4,540,525
4. JJ Berea: $4,000,425 
5. Alan Anderson: $4,000,000
6. Austin Rivers: $3,227,451
7. Leandro Barbosa: $2,500,000
8. Aaron Brooks: $2,250,00 
9. Jeremy Lin: $2,187,128 
10. Beno Udrih: $2, 170,000 
11. Mo Williams: $2,147,250 
12. Shane Larkin: $1,500,000
13. Matthew Dellavedova: $1,147,276 
Jason Terry and Norris Cole are still unsigned 

The Cory Joseph deal was the biggest surprise of free agency for me.  The fact that he received more money than proven scorers like  Lou Williams and Rodney Stuckey is absurd. Joseph has never average more than 6.8 points in a season, he's an undersized two guard and isn't an elite defender. Toronto is putting a lot of faith into the young guard. 

Just like all of the other free agent tiers, guys took less money to play for contenders and non-playoff teams slightly over paid for solid back-ups. 

56. JEREMY LIN 

Signed with CHARLOTTE
6-3/200
AGE: 27 
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with LAL, SAC, DAL, IND, CHI, LAC, SA, MEM

CONTRACT: 2 yr(s) / $4,374,255

AVERAGE SALARY: $2,187,128

57. MO WILLIAMS

Signed with CLEVELAND
6-1/198
AGE: 32
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with CHR, CLV, MEM

CONTRACT: 2 yr(s) / $4,294,500

AVERAGE SALARY: $2,147,250


58. AARON BROOKS 
Re-singed with CHICAGO 
6-0/161
AGE: 30
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with CHI, POR, SA, DAL, IND, MEM

CONTRACT: 1 yr(s) / $2,250,000

AVERAGE SALARY: $2,250,00


59. JJ BAREA
Re-signed with DALLAS 
6-0/185
AGE: 31 
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with DAL, MIA, CHI, LAL

CONTRACT: 4 yr(s) / $16,001,700

AVERAGE SALARY: $4,000,425 


60. CJ WATSON
Signed with ORLANDO 
6-2/175
AGE: 31
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with IND, DAL, LAC 

CONTRACT: 3 yr(s) / $15,000,000
AVERAGE SALARY: $5,000,000 


61. MATTHEW DELLAVEDOVA  
Re-signed with CLEVELAND
(RESTRICTED)
6-4/200
AGE: 25 in September
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with CLV

CONTRACT: 1 yr(s) / $1,147,276

AVERAGE SALARY: $1,147,276


62. BENO UDRIH
MEMPHIS picked up his option for 2016
Will make 2.17 million next season 
6-3/205
AGE: 33 in 
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with MEM, DAL, MIA, CHI, LAL


63. Cory Joseph 
Signed with Toronto 
6-3/185
AGE: 24
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with SA, HOU, DAL, TOR

CONTRACT: 4 yr(s) / $29,890,000

AVERAGE SALARY: $7,472,500

64. JASON TERRY-HOUSTON ROCKETS 

Still unsigned
6-2/180
AGE: 38 in September
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with HOU


65. NORRIS COLE-NEW ORLEANS PELICANS

(RESTRICTED) 
Still unsigned
6-2/175
AGE: 26
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with NO

66. JAMEER NELSON

Re-signed with DENVER
6-0/200
AGE: 33
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with DEN, MIA, CHI, LAL

CONTRACT: 3 yr(s) / $13,621,575
AVERAGE SALARY: $4,540,525

67. LEANDRO BARBOSA
Re-signed with GOLDEN STATE
6-3/194 
AGE: 32
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with GS

CONTRACT: 1 yr(s) / $2,500,000 
AVERAGE SALARY: $2,500,000

68. ALAN ANDERSON

Signed with WASHINGTON
6-5/220
AGE: 32
3 year games played average: 72.3
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with BRK

CONTRACT: 1 yr(s) / $4,000,000 
AVERAGE SALARY: $4,000,000 

69. SHANE LARKIN

Signed with BROOKLYN
5-11/176

AGE: 22
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with NY

CONTRACT: 2 yr(s) / $3,000,000 
AVERAGE SALARY: $1,500,000

70. AUSTIN RIVERS 

Re-signed with the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS  
6-4/200
AGE: 23
Possible Destinations: Re-sign with LAC

CONTRACT: 2 yr(s) / $6,454,902
AVERAGE SALARY: $3,227,451

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