Saturday, May 9, 2015

2016 NFL MOCK DRAFT 1.0

My mock is listed on Walter Football's Mock Draft Database along with over 300 mock drafts:

http://walterfootball.com/draftdata.php





I did my draft order based on Vegas' win odds
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/story.cfm/story/1672706
I did tie breakers based on which teams had the better QB. 
For the playoffs I mixed Vegas odds with my own projections (and what I want to see next year) 
which is a Rodgers vs. Luck Super Bowl. 

Here is my Mock Draft 1.0 ENJOY 


First Round

1. OAKLAND RAIDERS (5.5) 
JOEY BOSA-DE/EDGE-OHIO ST.  
6-6/276
NFL Comparison: JJ Watt/Chris Long  
Bosa is a straight up BEAST. The guy just makes play after play and has a non stop motor. It will be interesting to see how he plays with the spotlight on him all year. JJ Watt is his ceiling and Chris Long is probably his floor barring an injury. Bosa looks like the clear cut #1 pick on most draft boards right now.
2014 College Stats:
Sacks: 13.5
Tackles For Loss: 21.0
Forced Fumbles: 4

  

2. TENNESSEE TITANS (5.5)
RONNIE STANLEY-OT/LT-NOTRE DAME

6-6/315
NFL Comparison: Ryan Clady/Tyron Smith 
Like they say in the Blind Side, first payment is the house (Marcus Mariota) then you get the insurance (a huge left tackle to protect him). Stanley took over left tackle duties from Zack Martin and played very well. He held his own against Leonard Williams and has the prototype size and skills to become a franchise left tackle.


3. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (5.5)
VERNON HARGREAVES-CB-FLORIDA

5-11/192
NFL Comparison: Darrelle Revis/Joe Haden
The Jags took Dante Fowler with the #3 pick in 2015. The crazy thing is that Fowler wasn't even the best player on the Florida defense in 2014. That belongs to Mr. Hargreaves. Several scouts have compared him to Darrelle Revis, that in itself should tell you all you need to know about his talent.

Fowler tore his ACL on the first day of rookie mini-camp. Such is the luck with Jacksonville, and it appears another long season is ahead. Luckily they will have a chance to get arguably the best DB to come out of college since Charles Woodson or Sean Taylor.



4. WASHINGTON REDSKINS  (6.0)
CHRISTIAN HACKENBERG-QB-PENN ST.



6-4/236
NFL Comparison: Matt Ryan 
If Washington is picking in the top 5 next year, that means the Robert Griffin era is officially a failure. It could be time to move one from RG III. Coach Jay Gruden will seek a pure pocket passer like Hackenberg as his replacement. Hackenberg has all the physical tools of a franchise QB but struggled last year after an impressive true Freshman season.

Hackenberg is a local product that grew up in Palmyra, Virginia (2 hours southwest of DC). If Hackenberg has a solid season, he should be the first QB off the board in 2016.
2014 College Stats:  
55.8%
2977 passing yards
12 passing TD
15 Interceptions

2013 College Stats:  
58.9 1%
2955 passing yards
2 passing TD
10 Interceptions
4 rushing TD


5. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (6.0) 
ROBERT NKEMDICHE-DE/EDGE-OLE MISS
6-4/280
NFL Comparison: Jason Pierre Paul 
Tampa needs a pass rushing DE. Nkemdiche was the #1 player coming out of high school two years ago and has shown flashes of his talent. If he can put it all together in his Junior season, he could easily vault himself into a top 5 pick. Nkemdiche's success could mean big things for Ole Miss this year.
2014 College Stats:
Sacks: 2.0
Tackles For Loss: 4.0
Forced Fumbles: 0

6. CLEVELAND BROWNS (6.5)
CARDALE JONES-QB-OHIO ST.
6-5/250
NFL Comparison: Ben Roethlisberger/JaMarcus Russell
Cleveland will likely be coming off of another dreadful season due to bad QB play. In Columbus they may be celebrating back to back championships at the beginning of 2016. If Jones' leads the Buckeyes to another title, then his stock will be sky high and the Browns will pretty much have to take the hometown kid (who played at Glenville High School in Cleveland). Jones has the size and skill set similar to Big Ben. He also comes with the risk factor of JaMarcus Russell. Like Russell, he had immaturity issues (including beefing with Joakim Noah) http://www.cbssports.com/nba/eye-on-basketball/25179072/cardale-jones-trolls-joakim-noah-on-twitter-during-game-3

Like Russell, he also has concerns about keeping his weight down once he gets to the NFL. Jones' season this year could vault him to the #1 overall pick or could drop him to a 5th or 6th rounder depending on if he can keep the starting job and keep winning.
2014 College Stats: (sample size of only 3 games) 
Average per game 
60.9%
286.6 passing yards
2.3 passing TD
0.6 Interceptions
98.6 rushing yards
0.3 rushing TD



7. MINNESOTA VIKINGS (7.0)
LAQUON TREADWELL-WR-OLE MISS


6-2/229
NFL Comparison: Dez Bryant
The Vikings failed to give young QB Teddy Bridgewater a #1 WR in the draft this year. They won't make the same mistake twice. Treadwell has Dez Bryant like size and ability without the diva attitude. The only question mark regarding Treadwell is how he can bounce back from a nasty knee injury he suffered last season.
2014 College Stats:
9 games 
48 receptions
63 receiving yards
5 total TD


8. CHICAGO BEARS (7.0)
JARED GOFF-QB-CALIFORNIA 
6-4/210
NFL Comparison: Ryan Tannehill 
The last time an undersized yet accurate QB came out of Cal he turned out pretty good. I think he makes State Farm commercials now. Goff might not quite be the next Aaron Rodgers, but after years of watching the inconsistent Jay Cutler throw interception after interception, Bears fans would be happy to embrace an accurate passer and game manager.
2014 College Stats:  
62.1%
3973 passing yards
35 passing TD
7 Interceptions


9. NEW YORK JETS (7.0)
LAREMY TUNSIL-OT/LT-OLE MISS
6-5/305 
NFL Comparison: Duane Brown
By draft time next year, Bryce Petty will be the likely starter in New York. My guess is that he takes over by mid-season and then shows enough potential to give him a chance in 2016. If that's the case, then the Jets will look to protect him and give him a chance to succeed.


10. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (7.5)
MYLES JACK-WLB/MLB/ILB-UCLA

6-1/232
NFL Comparison: Patrick Willis
This may be a little high for an inside line backer, but Jack is an elite talent. He's on the same level as Willis and Luke Kuechly coming out of college. He also has played running back. He has the perfect blend of athletic ability and versatility that you look for in today's line backer.
2014 College Stats:
Total Tackles: 87.0
Tackles For Loss: 8.0
Passes Deflected: 7


11. ST. LOUIS RAMS (8.0)
TYLER BOYD-WR-PITTSBURGH
6-3/190
NFL Comparison: shorter AJ Green/bigger DeSean Jackson 
The Rams failed to draft a #1 WR in the 2015 draft. If they believe in Nick Foles as their QB, they will need to give him weapons to succeed. Boyd is just a play maker. He is tall and skinny. If he were about 210, there's a good chance he can jump Treadwell as the #1 WR in this class.
2014 College Stats: 
78 receptions
1261 receiving yards
8 total TD


12. SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (8.0)
SCOOBY WRIGHT-EDGE/OLB-ARIZONA  

6-1/246
NFL Comparison: Clay Matthews/Tedy Bruschi
Wright is the best defender to play at Arizona since Bruschi. He brings a Clay Matthew's like motor to the game and just dominates on every snap. Do I wish he was an inch or to taller? Yeah that would be nice, but the stats tell you everything you need to know about this guy.
2014 College Stats:
Sacks: 14.0
Tackles For Loss: 29.0
Forced Fumbles: 6
Total Tackles: 163
Led the nation in total tackles and tackles for loss

13. NEW YORK GIANTS (8.0)
A'SHAWN ROBINSON-NT/DT-BAMA
6-4/312
NFL Comparison: Steve McLendon
The Giants love adding big, physical guys that come from big schools. They need a DT to take some pressure off of Johnathan Hankins. Teams won't be able to double team Hankins every play if they draft Robinson

14. ATLANTA FALCONS (8.0)
JALEN RAMSEY-FS/DB-FSU
6-1/200
NFL Comparison: Eric Berry 
Atlanta needs to upgrade the secondary in the worst way. CB Desmond Trufant is a stud, but the rest of their secondary is below average. Once again, expect Atlanta to be among the worst pass defenses in the NFL.

15. BUFFALO BILLS (8.5)
JAYLON SMITH-ILB-NOTRE DAME
6-3/240
NFL Comparison: KJ Wright 
Rex Ryan wants play makers on defense. Smith is a guy that plays sideline to sideline and is a perfect fit as a 3-4 ILB.
2014 College Stats:
Total Tackles: 112
Tackles For Loss: 9.0
Sacks: 3.5


16. HOUSTON TEXANS (8.5)
CONNOR COOK-QB-MICHIGAN ST.
6-4/220
NFL Comparison: Tony Romo 
Coach Bill O'Brian may need to trade into the top 10 next year to get his franchise QB. The Texans would be very fortunate to get a QB like Cook at #16. The Texans have all the pieces to be a playoff team but lack a consistent signal caller.
2014 College Stats:  
58.1%
3214 passing yards
24 passing TD
8 Interceptions
80 rushing yards
2 rushing TD




17. CINCINNATI BENGALS (8.5)
SHILIQUE CALHOUN-OLB/DE/EDGE-MICHIGAN ST. 
6-4/250
NFL Comparison: Brian Orakpo
The Bengals need a young pass rusher on the outside to put pressure on guys like Big Ben and Joe Flacco.
2014 College Stats:
Sacks: 8.0
Tackles For Loss: 12.5


18. ARIZONA CARDINALS (8.5)
SHAWN OAKMAN-5T/DE/EDGE-BAYLOR
6-9/280
NFL Comparison: Calais Campbell/Julius Peppers 
Having two 6-7+ freak athletes on your defensive line is never a bad thing. Oakman has size like Campbell and Peppers, if he can put it all together this season, he has a chance to crack the top 10. You can't teach 6-9/280.
2014 College Stats:
Sacks: 11.0
Tackles For Loss: 19.5
Forced Fumbles: 3

19. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (8.5)
DUKE WILLIAMS-WR-AUBURN
6-2/224
NFL Comparison: Dwayne Bowe
Andy Reid needs a big body WR to help Jeremy Maclin. Duke fits that bill.
2014 College Stats: 
45 receptions
730 receiving yards
5 total TD


20. DETROIT LIONS (8.5)
SPENCER DRANGO-OT-BAYLOR
6-6/310
NFL Comparison: Anthony Castonzo 
The Lions need to keep adding guys that can protect Matthew Stafford. They helped the interior of their offensive line by drafting Laken Tomlinson, next year they need to add an offensive tackle.

21. PITTSBURGH STEELERS 
SU'A CRAVENS-SS/WLB-USC
6-1/225
NFL Comparison: Kam Chancellor 
The last time the Steelers took a hard hitting strong safety from USC it worked out pretty well. Cravens will do his best to become the next Troy Polamalu.
2014 College Stats:
Total Tackles: 68.0
Tackles For Loss: 17.0
Passes Deflected: 9
Interceptions: 3
Sacks: 5



22. CAROLINA PANTHERS  
DERRICK HENRY-RB-BAMA

6-4/242
NFL Comparison: Eddie George 
It's time to move on from the Jonathan Stewart era. At 6-4/242, Henry brings size not normally seen in today's NFL running back. He shared the load with TJ Yeldon last year, This season he should get more carries and become a legitimate Heisman candidate.
2014 College Stats:  
990 rushing yards
13 total TD
133receiving yards
5 receptions

23. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
LEONARD FLOYD-OLB/EDGE-GEORGIA
6-4/231
NFL Comparison: Robert Mathis 
The Saints could use another pass rusher. If Floyd can bulk up to about 250 while not losing any explosiveness, he has a chance to crack the top 10, He could be this year's Vic Beasley. For now he's at #23 due to his lack of size.
2014 College Stats:
Sacks: 6.0
Tackles For Loss: 8.5
Forced Fumbles: 3

24. MIAMI DOLPHINS 
KENDALL FULLER-CB-VIRGINIA TECH  
6-0/197
NFL Comparison: Chris Culliver
The Dolphins need another cover corner to help out Brent Grimes. Fuller is a safe and solid prospect that should have a long career. He doesn't quite have the size and speed to be an elite corner, but he should be a starter in the league for a long time.

25. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 
NICK MARTIN-C/G-NOTRE DAME
6-4/295
NFL Comparison: John Sullivan
Evan Mathis will be gone after next season. Nick Martin is the younger brother of Dallas' Zach Martin. The two could see each other twice a year if the Eagles draft him.

26. DALLAS COWBOYS 
EZEKIEL ELLIOT-RB-OHIO ST. 
6-0/225
NFL Comparison: Arian Foster
Dallas needs a running back after passing on one in the 2015 draft. Elliot was a monster in the College Football Playoff last year. He has the same size and break away ability as Arian Foster.
2014 College Stats:  
1878 rushing yards
18 total TD
220 receiving yards
28 receptions

27. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
EMMANUEL OGBAH-DE/EDGE-OK ST. 
6-4/275
NFL Comparison: Ziggy Ansah 
Chandler Jones will be a free agent next season and Rob Ninkovich is over 30 years old. It's time to get another DE that can rush the passer and set the edge.
2014 College Stats:
Sacks: 11.0
Tackles For Loss: 17.0
Forced Fumbles: 1

28. DENVER BRONCOS 
CHRIS JONES-3T/NT/DT-MISSISSIPPI ST.
6-4/300
NFL Comparison: Nick Fairley
The Broncos need a run stuffing defensive tackle. Jones has all the tools, but like Fairley, he's very inconsistent.


29. BALTIMORE RAVENS
TONY CONNER-CB/FS-OLE MISS
6-1/217
NFL Comparison: Michael Griffin
The forth Ole Miss player in my mock draft. Connor has played both corner and safety in Oxford. He's started nearly every game since he was a true freshman.

Ole Miss has as much talent as anyone in the SEC this year. Already have my calendar circled for September 19th when they play at Alabama.

30. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 
TAYLOR DECKER-OT-OHIO ST.
6-8/315
NFL Comparison: Nate Solder/Jared Veldheer
A very tall, athletic tackle that comes from a culture of winning.

31. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 
JACK CONKLIN-OT-MICHIGAN ST.
6-6/317
NFL Comparison: Ricky Wagner 
The Colts need a RT to replace Gosder Cherilus. Conklin is a perfect fit at RT in the NFL. 

32. GREEN BAY PACKERS

DEFOREST BUCKNER-5T/DE-OREGON
6-7/290
NFL Comparison: Chris Canty
Datone Jones hasn't been the player they hoped he would be when they drafted him in the 1st round in 2013.
2014 College Stats:
Sacks: 4.0
Tackles For Loss: 12.5
Forced Fumbles: 1

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