Sunday, May 3, 2015

2015 NFL Draft Recap/New Depth Charts: AFC REBUILDING TEAMS

Instead of doing pointless "draft grades" I just plugged in key draft picks to see how they fit on their new team

Here is my color code:
Has a good chance to be a starter by next season 
Quality depth 
Need not addressed in the draft 


Vegas odds project them to win 6.5 games or less

Head Coach/GM: Gus Bradley/David Caldwell
Offensive Coordinator/Style: Greg Olson (new)/Balanced-Ball Control
Pass/Run Ratio: 60.7/39.3
Defensive Coordinator/Style: Bob Babich/4-3 Cover 2
Offensive Star: Julius Thomas-TE (new)
Defensive Star: None
Position Analysis
Blake Bortles-Young/2014 1st RD (#3 Overall)
Pass Rush/DE: 
Dante Fowler Jr
Chris Clemons-Average
Interior D-Line: 
LDT: Jered Odrick-Very Good/New
RDT: Sen'Derrick Marks-Good
Michael Bennett
LDE: Tyson Alualu-Average/better as backup DT than as a starting DE
MLB: Paul Posluszny-Average
SLB: Dan Skuta-New
WLB: Tevin Smith-Young/2014 5th RD
LCB: Demetrius McCray-Young/2013 7th RD/Below Average so far
RCB: Dwayne Gratz-Average
#3/Nickel CB: Davon House-Good/New
SS: Jonathan Cyprien-Good/Young/2013 2nd RD
FS: Sergio Brown-New/Average
James Sample 
WR: Allen Robinson-Young/2014 2nd RD
WR: Marqise Lee-Young/2014 2nd RD
Slot: Rashad Greene
TE: Julius Thomas-Very Good
#3 WR: Allen Hurns-Young/2014 Undrafted
LT: Luke Joeckel-Young/2013 1st RD/Below Average so far
LG: Zane Beadles-Good
C:  Luke Bowanko-Young/2014 6th RD
A.J. Cann
RG: Brandon Linder-Very Good/2014 3rd RD last year was an instant stud
RT: Jeremy Parnell-New
T.J. Yeldon 
Denard Robinson-Below Average/Young/2013 5th RD
Toby Gerhardt-Below Average

Pass Rusher:  With the #3 pick the Jags are guaranteed either outside rush DE Dante Fowler or inside rush DT Leonard Williams, Fowler may be the better fit, but Williams may be the better talent
O-Line:  They signed Parnell, but the jury is still out on the #2 pick in the 2013 draft, Luke Joeckel
RB:  Robinson is solid but is not an evey down back and Gerhardt is nothing more than a short yardage back, they need a bell cow to help take the pressure off of Bortles. They claimed Bernard Pierce off of waivers, but he isn't the answer.
MLB:  Posluszny was the best player on the roster from 2011-2013 but he's past his prime, an young MLB is needed.
FS/DB Depth:  Josh Evans was terrible last year and Sergio Brown is a career backup.

3. Dante Fowler Jr.-DE/OLB/EDGE-Florida
36. T.J. Yeldon-RB-Bama
67. A.J. Cann-OG/C-South Carolina
104. James Sample-SS-Louisville
139. Rashad Greene-WR-FSU
180. Michael Bennett-DT-Ohio State
220. Neal Sterling-WR-Monmouth
229. Ben Koyack-TE-Notre Dame

The Jags filled their three biggest needs with their first three selections. Fowler will give coach Gus Bradley the "Leo" edge players he's been looking for. Yeldon will be the starter at RB and could have a 20 carry per game load as a rookie, This team has been searching for an every down back since Maurice Jones-Drew left a few years ago. AJ Cann should come in and start at either guard or center. Sample is an in the box safety and hard hitter.

They filled needs early and then were able to land two steals in Rashad Greene and Michael Bennett. Greene is an undersized slot receiver that was Jameis Winston's go to guy the past two seasons. Bennett was a projected 2nd round pick that fell all the way to the 6th.


Head Coach/GM: Ken Whisenhunt/Ruston Webster
Offensive Coordinator/Style: Jason Michael/Spread-Balanced
Pass/Run Ratio: 59.0/41.0
Defensive Coordinator/Style: Ray Horton/3-4 Hybrid
Offensive Star: None
Defensive Star: Jurrell Casey-DT
Position Analysis
Marcus Mariota
Zach Mettenberger-Young/2014 6 RD
Pass Rush/OLB: 
Derrick Morgan-Good
Brian Orakpo-Good when healthy
Interior D-Line: 
DT/3T/5T; Jurrell Casey-Very Good
NT: Sammie Hill-Average
Angelo Blackson
LDE: Mike Martin-Average
LILB: Wesley Woodyard-Below Average
RILB: Avery Williamson-Young/2014 5th RD
LCB: Perrish Cox-Good/New
RCB: Jason McCourty-Good
SS: Da'Norris Searcy-Very Good/New
FS: Michael Griffin-Below Average
WR: Kendall Wright-Good
Dorial Green-Beckham
WR: Justin Hunter-Young/poor so far/2013 2nd RD
TE: Delanie Walker-Good
#3 WR: Harry Douglas-New
LT: Taylor Lewan-Young/2014 1st RD/star potential
LG: Andy Levitre-Good
C:  Brian Schwenke-Below Average/Young/2013 4th RD
RG: Chance Warmack-Good/Young/2013 1st RD
RT: Terron Jones-New
Jeremiah Poutasi
Bishop Sankey-Young/2014 2nd RD
Shonn Greene-Average
David Cobb

QB:  Mettenberger is NOT the answer, they may take a QB at #2 or #33.
#1 WR:  Wright and Douglas are good on underneath routes, but Hunter has been a bust so far.  They need a WR that can stretch the field and be a red zone threat.
D-Line Depth: If they take Leonard Williams at #2 (like most Mock Drafts), they will have 3-4 DE duo similar to the Jets combo of Muhammed Wilkerson and Sheldon Richardson 
C/G Depth 
ILB Depth 

2. Marcus Mariota-QB-Oregon
40. Dorial Green-Beckham-WR-Oklahoma/Missouri
66. Jeremiah Poutasi-OT/G-Utah
100. Angelo Blackson-NT/DT-Auburn
108. Jalston Fowler-FB-Bama
138. David Cobb-RB-Minnesota
177. Deiontrez Mount-SLB/OLB-Louisville
208. Andy Gallik-C-Boston College
245. Tre McBride-WR-William &Mary

The Mariota era now under way in Nashville. They helped their new QB by giving him a big target in Dorial Green Beckham. DGB is 6-5 and has the skills to become another Plaxico Buress. Poutasi will have a chance to start right away at RT. They added a solid nose tackle in Blackson. Fowler provides punch as blocking back while Cobb is a big powerful runner that has a chance to unseat Bishop Sankey as their starting RB.



Head Coach/GM: Jack Del Rio (new)/Reggie McKenzie
Offensive Coordinator/Style: Bill Musgrave (new)/Balanced-Ball Control
Pass/Run Ratio: 65.1/34.9 (highest pass ratio in the league)
Defensive Coordinator/Style: Ken Norton Jr. (new)/4-3 Man
Offensive Star: None
Defensive Star: Khalil Mack-SLB/PR was an instant star as a rookie last year
Position Analysis
Derek Carr-Young/2014 2nd RD
Pass Rush: 
RDE: Juston Tuck-Good
LDE: Benson Mayowa-Below Average
Mario Edwards
SLB: Khalil Mack-Elite/Young/2014 1st RD
Interior D-Line: 
NT: Dan Williams-Good/New
DT: Antonio Smith-Good
SLB: under pass rush
MLB: Cusrtis Lofton-Average/New
WLB: Malcolm Smith-Average/New or
Sio Moore-Average/Young/2013 3rd RD
LCB: DJ Hayden-Good/Average/Young 2013 1st RD
RCB: Keith McGill-Young/2014 4th RD
Slot CB: TJ Carrie-Young/2014 7th RD
SS: Nate Allen-Average/New
FS: Charles Woodson-Average
Amari Cooper
WR: James Jones-Average
WR: Rod Streater-Average
TE: Mychal Rivera-Below Average
Clive Walford
LT: Donald Penn-Good
LG: Gabe Jackson-Good/Young/2014 3rd RD
C:  Rodney Hudson-Very Good/Elite/New
RG: Austin Howard-Average
Johnathan Feliciano
RT: Manelik Watson-Young/2013 2nd RD/Below Average so far
Latavius Murray-Below Average
Roy Helu-Average/New

#1 WR:  Luckily for the Raiders, they will have the chance to draft either Amari Cooper or Kevin White if they stay at #4
Pass Rush/DE:  Mack was a stud last year but he needs more help from the D-Line in getting to the opposing QB
OT:  Watson may not be the answer at RT, Penn is solid at LT but he's 32
Power RB:  Murray and Helu give them solid speed on the edge but they need an inside rusher
FS/DB Depth:  Woodson will be 39 in October

4. Amari Cooper-WR-Bama
35. Mario Edwards-LDE-FSU
68. Clive Walford-TE-Miami
128. Johnathan Feliciano-OG-Miami
140. Ben Heeney-ILB-Kansas
161. Neiron Ball-OLB-Florida
179. Max Valles-OLB-Virginia
218. Anthony Morris-OT-Tennessee State
221. Andre Debose-WR/KR-Florida
242. Dexter McDonald-CB-Kansas

Cooper gives young QB Derek Carr a legit #1 target. I just don't understand how anyone can complain about his size. You don't need to be 6-3 to be a #1 superstar WR in the NFL. Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham Jr. have proved that. Cooper is a slam dunk pick for the Raiders.

Cooper hails from Miami, and it was apparent that Oakland scouts spent plenty of time in the state of Florida. Five of their ten picks played college ball at either Miami, Florida or FSU. The Edwards pick is questionable because he's not a true pass rusher. Walford is a good pass catcher that can win the starting job at TE, Feliciano and Morris provide depth on the O-Line while Debose gives them a solid return man. The Raiders had a good draft and will hope that Derek Carr can develop into a franchise QB. Peyton Manning is 39, Phillip Rivers will be a free agent next season and Alex Smith is an average QB. It's not unreasonable to think that the Raiders could be atop the AFC West in 2-3 years.

Head Coach/GM: Todd Bowles (new)/Mike Maccagnan (new)
Offensive Coordinator/Style: Chan Gailey (new)/Ball Control
Pass/Run Ratio:  50.5/49.5
Defensive Coordinator/Base Scheme and Coverage:
Kacy Rodgers (new)/3-4 Press Man
Offensive Star: Nick Mangold-C and Brandon Marshall-WR
Defensive Stars: Darrelle Revis-CB, Muhammed Wilkerson-DE, Sheldon Richardson-DE
Position Analysis 
Geno Smith-Young/2013 2nd RD/Poor so far
Bryce Petty 
Ryan Fitzpatrick-Below Average journeyman
Pass Rush/OLB: 
LOLB: Calvin Pace-Average
ROLB: Quinton Coples-Average
Lorenzo Mauldin
Interior D-Line: 
LDE: Muhammed Wilkerson-Elite
NT:   Damon Harrison-Very Good
RDE: Sheldon Richardson-Elite
Leonard Williams 
LILB: David Harris-Good/Average
RILB: Demario Davis-Average
LCB: Darrelle Revis-Elite/New
RCB: Antonio Cromartie-Average/Good/New
#3/Nickel CB: Buster Skrine-Average/Good/New
SS: Marcus Gilchrist-Average/New
FS: Calvin Pryor-Young/2014 1st RD
WR: Brandon Marshall-Good/Elite when healthy and has good QB play
WR: Eric Decker-Good
Devin Smith 
TE: Jace Amaro-Young/2014 2nd RD
LT: D'Brickashaw Ferguson-Good
LG: Willie Colon-Below Average
C:   Nick Mangold-Very Good
RG: James Carpenter-New/Average
RT: Breno Giacomini-Below Average
Jarvis Harrison
Chris Ivory-Good/Average

QB:  Mariota is on their radar, if they can't get him, they may have to wait until the 2016 draft to get their franchise signal caller.
Pass Rusher:  So far, 2012 1st RD pick Quinton Coples has been a bust At least one of Vic Beasley, Dante Fowler or Shane Ray Ray should be available at #6. An elite pass rusher could vault this already stacked defense to the best in the league.
RT:  Need Major upgrade
ILBs:  Need LB's that can cover TE's with Rob Gronkowski, Charles Clay and Jordan Cameron in the same division.
#3 WR Upgrade

6. Leonard Williams-DT/DE-USC
37. Devin Smith-WR-Ohio State
82. Lorenzo Mauldin-OLB/EDGE-Louisville

103. Bryce Petty-QB-Baylor
152. Jarvis Harrison-OG-Texas A&M
223. Deon Simon-NT/DT-Northwestern State

The Jets went best player on the board with Leonard Williams. Their defensive line is scary. Mauldin gives the defense a good pass rusher. Petty will have a chance win the starting QB job while Devin Smith provides the WR core with a deep threat. The Jets had a solid draft, but unless Petty proves he's a franchise QB, they will remain in the AFC East basement. 


Head Coach/GM: Mike Pettine/Ray Farmer
Offensive Coordinator/Style: John DeFelippo (new)/Ball Control
Pass/Run Ratio: 51.3/48.7
Defensive Coordinator/Base Scheme and Coverage
Jim O'Neil/3-4 Cover 2
Offensive Stars: Joe Thomas-OT and Alex Mack-C
Defensive Star: Joe Haden-CB
Position Analysis
Major Need; Josh McCown-Below Average
Pass Rush/OLB: 
Paul Kruger-Good
Barkevious Mingo-Young/2013 1st RD/Average so far
Nate Orchard 
Interior D-Line: 
RDE: Desmond Bryant-Average
Xavier Cooper
NT:  Phil Taylor-Average
Danny Shelton 
LDE: Randy Starks-New/Good
LILB: Craig Robertson-Below Average
RILB: Karlos Dansby-Very Good
LCB: Joe Haden-Elite
RCB: Tramon Williams-New/Good
Slot CB-K'Waun Williams-Good
Young CB/FS: Justin Gilbert-Young/2014 1st RD
Charles Gaines
SS: Donte Whitner-Very Good
FS: Tashaun Gipson-Good
Ibraheim Campbell
WR: Dwayne Bowe-New/Good
WR: Brian Hartline-New/Average
Slot WR: Andrew Hawkins-Very Good at role
TE: Gary Barnridge-Below Average
LT: Joe Thomas-Elite, arguably the best OT in the NFL
LG: Joel Bitonio-Young/2014 2nd RD/Very Good, was an instant stud as a rookie
C:  Alex Mack-Very Good, arguably the best C in the NFL
RG: John Greco-Good
RT: Mitchell Schwartz-Good
Isaiah Crowell-Young/2014 Undrafted
Terrance West-Young/2014 3rd RD
Duke Johnson

QB:  The Browns without question had the worst QB play in the league last year.  The fact that they won 7 games last year shows how good the rest of the roster is
#1 WR:  Bowe is past his prime and Hartline is an average player at best 
NT:  They need a space eater to anchor their 3-4 set
TE:  They lost Jordan Cameron in free agency.
Rush LB:  Mingo has not been the star they expected him to be .
RT:  Adding a RT would allow them to move Schwartz inside.
ILB:  Robertson is a below average player and Dansby will be 34 this season.
RB:  Not a major need, nut if the right guy falls to them, they will take him.

12. Danny Shelton-NT/DT-Washington
19. Cameron Erving-C/G/OT-FSU

51. Nate Orchard-DE/OLB/EDGE-Utah
77. Duke Johnson-RB-Miami
96. Xavier Cooper-3T/DT-Washington State
115. Ibraheim Campbell-SS-Northwestern
123. Vince Mayle-WR/HB-Washington State
189. Charles Gaines-CB-Louisville
195. Malcolm Johnson-FB-Mississippi State
198. Randall Telfer-TE-USC
219. Hayes Pullard-ILB-USC
241 Ifo Ekpre-Olomu CB Oregon

The Browns added a TON of depth with 12 total picks. After going for big names last year (Johnny Football and Justin Gilbert), they learned from their mistakes and took the opposite approach this year. The trenches on the D-Line were addressed with Shelton and Cooper. Orchard is an underrated pass rusher among this class. Erving is a smart player that can play any position on the O-Line. Duke Johnson will give them a speed back to complement their two big backs.

The Browns failed to draft a QB or a #1 WR. It will be a surprise if the Browns aren't picking in the top 10 in next year's draft. They will likely take their franchise QB next draft. Three local Big Ten QBs are all on their radar; Christina Hackenberg (Penn St), Connor Cook (Michgan St) and Cardale Jones (Ohio St.).

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