Sunday, May 3, 2015

2015 NFL Draft Recap/New Depth Charts: NFC PLAYOFF HOPEFULS

Instead of doing pointless "draft grades" I just plugged in key draft picks to see how they fit on their new team

Here is my color code:
Has a good chance to be a starter by next season 
Quality depth 
Need not addressed in the draft 

Vegas predicts these teams will be fighting for a playoff spot late in the year. 
Vegas odds project them to win 9-8 games 

Head Coach/GM: Chip Kelly/Howie Roseman
Offensive Coordinator/Style: Pat Shurmur/Spread-Balanced
Pass/Run Ratio: 56.7/43.3
Defensive Coordinator/Base Scheme and Coverage: 
Billy Davis/4-3 Under/3-4 Press Man
Offensive Stars: DeMarco Murray-RB, Jason Peters-LT and Evan Mathis-LG
Defensive Star: Fletcher Cox-DE
Position Analysis
Sam Bradford-Average when healthy   or
Mark Sanchez-Below Average
Pass Rush/OLB/DE: 
Connor Barwin-Good
Brandon Graham-Good
Vinny Curry-Good
Interior D-Line: 
3T/DE: Fletcher Cox-Very Good
NT:  Bennie Logan-Young/2013 3rd RD
LDE: Cedric Thornton-Good
ILB: Mychal Kendricks-Good
ILB: Kiko Alonso-Good/New
LCB: Walter Thurmond-New/Average
RCB: Byron Maxwell-New/Good
Slot CB: Brandon Boykin-Very Good at role
JaCorey Shepherd
Randall Evan
SS: Earl Wolff-Young/2013 5th RD/Average so far
FS: Malcolm Jenkins-Good
Eric Rowe
WR: Jordan Matthees-Young/2014 2nd RD
Nelson Agholor
WR: Riley Cooper-Below Average
#3 WR: Josh Huff-Young/2014 3rd RD
TE 1: Zach Ertz-Young/2013 2nd RD/Good so far
TE 2: Brent Celek-Good
LT: Jason Peters-Elite
LG: Evan Mathis-Elite
C:   Jason Kelce-Very Good
RG: Matt Tobin-Below Average
RT: Lane Johnson-Young/2013 1st RD (#4 overall), Good right now, Elite potential
DeMarco Murray-Elite/New
Darren Sproles-Good

QB:  This may be the most talented roster in the NFL. They have 3 players that Pro Football Focus graded as Elite. Plus 13 more starters that can be considered very good or good. This team is a QB away from getting to the Super Bowl.
#2 WR:  After a good rookie season Matthews appears ready to be the #1 target in Philly.  The Eagles allowed Jeremy Maclin to walk via free agency. Now they need a young counterpart to pair with Matthews.
SS:  They addressed the CB issues in free agency but they still need an upgrade at SS
O-Line Depth:  Mathis is still arguably the best LG in the NFL but he will be 34 this year. Tobin is unproven and struggled last year. Longtime starting RG Todd Herremans was a cap casualty this off season.

20. Nelson Agholor-WR-USC
47. Eric Rowe-CB/FS-Utah
84. Jordan Hicks-WLB/ILB-Texas
191. JaCorey Shepherd-CB Kansas
196. Randall Evans-CB-Kansas State
237. Brian Mihalik-DE-Boston College

I mocked Agholor and Rowe going to the Eagles and it's exactly what happened. The Eagles get two instant impact player that are ready to start. Agholor will take over the Jeremy Maclin role at WR, while Rowe can come in and start at CB or safety. They added depth to the defense with their other four picks. Philly has NFC East title ambitions, Dallas better take notice.

Head Coach/GM: Bruce Arians/Steve Keim
Offensive Coordinator/Style: Harold Goodwin/Vertical-Pass Heavy
Pass/Run Ratio: 58.9/41.1
Defensive Coordinator/Base Scheme and Coverage: 
James Bettcher (new)/3-4 Hybrid Press Man
Offensive Star: Larry Fitzgerald-WR
Defensive Stars: Patrick Peterson-CB/KR and Calais Campbell-DE
Position Analysis
Carson Palmer-Good
Pass Rush: 
RDE/5T: Calais Campbell-Elite
ROLB: Alex Okafor-Young/2013 4th RD/Below Average so far
LOLB: Matt Shaugnessy-Below Average
#3 OLB: Lamarr Woodley-New/Average 
Markus Golden
Shaquille Riddick
Interior D-Line: 
LDE: Frostee Rucker-Average
NT:  Alameda Ta'Amu-Unproven
3T/NT: Corey Peters-New/Average
Rodney Gunter
LILB: Kevin Minter-Young/2013 2nd RD/Average so far
RILB: Sean Weatherspoon-New/Good
ILB:   Daryl Washington-Suspended-Very Good when playing
LCB: Patrick Peterson-Very Good/Elite
RCB: Jerraud Powers-Average
#3 CB: Justin Bethel-Unproven
FS: Tyrann Mathieu-Young/2013 3rd RD/Very Good/almost Elite
SS/WLB (strictly box): Deone Buchannon-Young/2014 1st RD
SS: Tony Jefferson-Young/2013 Undrafted
WR: Larry Fitzgerald-was Elite/has recently fell to Good
WR: Michael Floyd-Good
Deep Threat WR: John Brown-Young/2014 3rd RD
TE: Troy Nicklas-Young/2014 2nd RD
LT: Jared Veldheer-Very Good
LG: Jonathan Cooper-Young/2013 1st RD
C:  Anthony Steen-Unproven/Young/2014 Undrafted  or
     Ted Larsen-Below Average at RG last year
RG: Mike Iupati-New/Very Good/Elite
RT: Bobby Massie-Average
D.J. Humphries
Andre Ellington-Young/2013 6th RD/Good when healthy
Stepfan Taylor-Young/2013 5th RD
David Johnson

Pass Rush OLB:  Campbell does a great job getting pressure from the 5 technique but the Cards lack an outside pass rush. Okafor is a solid #2 OLB but they need a #1. At #24 they can get a good player like Eli Harold or Nate Orchard but they will need to trade up to get an elite play maker.
#2 CB:  Peterson is a star but he could use an upgrade across the field.
Power RB:  Ellington has been very effective when healthy but he's barely 200 pounds.  The Cards need a bigger back to help carry the load.
LG:  It's a make or break year for 2013 1st RD pick Jonathan Cooper
NT:  They lost Dan Williams in free agency. They signed Peters, but he may be a better fit as a 3 technique
Young QB: Carson Palmer is 35 and has been very injury prone. How early is to early to find an eventual replacement?

24. D.J. Humphries-OT-Florida
58. Markus Golden-OLB/EDGE-Missouri
86. David Johnson-RB-Northern Iowa
116. Rodney Gunter-DT-Delaware State
158. Shaquille Riddick-DE/OLB/EDGE-West Virginia
159. Jamarcus Nelson-WR/KR-UAB
256. Gerald Christian-TE-Louisville

The Cards continued to upgrade the O-Line by drafting DJ Humphries. He has a chance to start at RT. His athletic ability and length complement the sheer power that RG Mike Iupati provides. They added a power back in David Johnson to ease the load off of Andre Ellington. They also added depth on defense with pass rushers Golden and Riddick along with DT Gunter. An overall solid draft for Steve Keim and Bruce Arians. However the Cards will only go as far as Carson Palmer's health takes them. The Cards may be taking a QB in the 1st round of the 2016 draft if Palmer cannot stay healthy.

Picks in first 3 rounds: 15, 46, 79
9 total picks
Head Coach/GM: Jim Tomsula (new)/Trent Balke
Offensive Coordinator/Style: Jeep Chryst (new)/Ball Control-Balanced
Pass/Run Ratio: 50.9/49.1
Defensive Coordinator/Base Scheme and Coverage
Eric Mangini (new)/3-4 Zone
Offensive Star: Joe Staley-LT
Defensive Star: NaVorro Bowman-ILB
Position Analysis
Colin Kaepernick-Average/potential to be Good
Pass Rush/OLB: 
ROLB: Aldon Smith-Very Good/almost Elite
LOLB: Aaron Lynch-Young/2014 5th RD
Eli Harold
Interior D-Line: 
RDE: Justin Smith-Good
NT:   Glenn Dorsey-Good
LDE: Darnell Dockett-New/Good
#3 DE: Tank Carradine-Young/2013 2nd RD
Arik Armstead
LILB: Nick Moody-Young/2014 6th RD
RILB: NaVorro Bowman-Elite
LCB: Trumaine Brock-Good
RCB: Dontae Johnson-Young/2014 4th RD or
          Shareece Wright-New
Slot CB: Jimmy Ward-Young/2014 1st RD
SS: Antonie Bethea-Good
Jaquiski Tartt
FS: Eric Reid-Young/2013 1st RD/Average so far
WR: Torrey Smith-New/Good
WR: Anquan Boldin-Good
Slot WR: Bruce Ellington-Young/2014 4th RD
TE: Vernon Davis-Average
Blake Bell
LT: Joe Staley-Elite
LG: Brandon Thomas-Young/2014 3rd RD or
       Marcus Martin-Young/2014 3rd RD
C:    Daniel Kilgore-Good
They may move Martin to center and Kilgore to LG
RG: Alex Boone-Good
RT: Anthony Davis-Good
Carlos Hyde-Young/2014 2nd RD
Kendall Hunter-Average
Mike Davis

DE:  Justin Smith and Darnell Dockett are a combined 69 years old, they need a young 3 technique or 5 technique to help anchor Mangini's 3-4 defense.
ILB:  Both Patrick Willis and Chris Borland retired due to health concerns, it leaves Bowman as the only starter with experience on the inside.
TE:  This may be Davis' last year in San Fran.
DB Depth
C/G Depth
WR Depth 

17. Arik Armstead-DE-Oregon
46. Jaquiski Tartt-SS-Samford
79. Eli Harold-OLB/EDGE-Virginia
117. Blake Bell-TE-Oklahoma
126. Mike Davis-RB-South Carolina
132. DeAndre Smelter-WR-Georgia Tech
165. Bradley Pinion-PUNTER-Clemson
190. Ian Silberman-OT-Boston College
244. Trenton Brown-OG-Florida
254. Rory Anderson-TE-South Carolina

This draft proved to me that 49ers are looking at the long term picture over success next year. It looks like they are already preparing for the 2016 off season losses of:
Justin Smith (Armstead)
Antonie Bethea (Tartt)
Vernon Davis (Bell)
Eli Harold is a steal in the 3rd but they failed to take an ILB, CB or a big WR. This may be a LONG season in San Fran. On paper this looks like the a below average team.

Head Coach/GM: Tom Coughlin/Jerry Reese   
Offensive Coordinator/Style: Ben McAdoo/West Coast-Balanced, will pass more if they can protect Eli better
Pass/Run Ratio: 57.5/42.5
Defensive Coordinator/Base Scheme and Coverage:
Steve Spagnuolo (new)/4-3 Man
Offensive Stars: Odell Beckham Jr.-WR and Eli Manning-QB
Defensive Star: Jason Pierre Paul-DE
Position Analysis
Eli Manning-Very Good
Pass Rush/DE: 
RDE: Jason Pierre Paul-Very Good
LDE: Demontre Moore-Young/2013 3rd RD
#3 DE/pass rush specialist: Robert Ayers-Good
Owamagbe Odighizuwa
Interior D-Line: 
LDT: Cullen Jenkins-Average
RDT: Jonthan Hankins-Very Good
SLB: Devon Kennard-Young/2014 5th RD
MLB: Jon Beason-Below Average
WLB: JT Thomas-New/Unproven
LCB: Dominique Rodgers Cromartie-Very Good
RCB: Prince Amukamara-Good
Slot CB: Trumaine McBride-Good
SS: Cooper Taylor-Young/2013 5th RD
Landon Collins
FS: Nat Berhe-Young/2014 5th RD
Mykkele Thompson
WR: Odell Beckham Jr.-Elite/2014 1st RD, was NFL Rookie of the Year
WR: Victor Cruz-Good
WR: Rueben Randle-Average
TE: Larry Donnell-Below Average
LT: Willam Beatty-Good
LG: John Jerry-New/Below Average
C:  Weston Richburg-Young/2014 2nd RD
RG: Geoff Schwartz-Very Good
RT: Justin Pugh-Young/2013 1st RD, average so far, playing out of position
Ereck Flowers
Bobby Hart
Rashad Jennings-Average
Shane Vereen-New/Average
Andre Williams-Young/2014 4th RD

OT/G:  The G-Men really struggled protecting Eli last year. The team can draft a RT at #9 and move Pugh to LG or draft a LG and keep Pugh at RT.  Either way they need more bodies to keep the pressure off of Eli.
Both Safeties:  As you can see they have a pair of unproven 5th round talents starting as of now. Landon Collins will be there at #9 but that might be too high for him.
MLB or WLB:  Beason has lost a step and Thomas is unproven
TE:  Is Larry Donnell really the answer here?
O-Line Depth
DT Depth

9. Ereck Flowers-OT-Miami
33. Landon Collins-SS Bama
74. Owamagbe Odighizuwa-DE/EDGE-UCLA
144. Mykkele Thompson-FS-Texas
186. Geremy Davis-WR-Connecticut
226. Bobby Hart-OG-FSU

The Giants filled their two biggest needs with two instant starters. They made a very smart move in trading up for Landon Collins at the start of round two. Flowers was a slight reach at #9 but he's exactly what they need at LT. In the 2011 draft, many pundits were calling Tyron Smith a reach at #9. Now 4 years later he's an All-Pro left tackle. The Giants hope Flowers can have the same impact. Owa provides depth to the pass rush while Thompson has a chance to start at FS. If the G-Men can protect Eli then they have a very good chance of competing for the division title with Dallas and Philly.

Head Coach/GM: Dan Quinn (new)/Thomas Dimitroff
Offensive Coordinator/Style: Kyle Shanahan/West Coast-Balanced
Pass/Run Ratio: 63.0/37.0
Shanahan with the Browns in 2014: 51.3/48.7
Defensive Coordinator/Base Scheme and Coverage:
Richard Smith/4-3 Man
Offensive Star: Matt Ryan-QB and Julio Jones-WR
Defensive Star: Desmond Trufant-CB
Position Analysis
Matt Ryan-very Good
Pass Rush/DE: 
LDE: Tyson Jackson-Below Average
RDE: Adrian Clayborn-New/Average
Vic Beasley
Interior D-Line: 
DT: Ra'Shede Hageman-Young/2014 2nd RD
NT: Paul Soliai-Average
Grady Jarrett
SLB: Brooks Reed-New/Average
MLB: Paul Worrilow-Young/2013 Undrafted, poor last year
WLB: Justin Durant-New/Average
LCB: Desmond Trufant-Very Good/Young/2013 1st RD
RCB: Robert Alford-Young/2013 2nd RD
#3/Nickel CB: Phillip Adams-New/Average
Jalen Collins
SS: William Moore-Average
FS: Dezmen Southward-Young/2014 3rd RD
WR: Julio Jones-Very Good/Elite
WR: Roddy White-Good
Justin Hardy
TE: Levine Toilolo-Poor  or
      Jacob Tamme-New/Average
LT: Jake Matthews-Young/2014 1st RD
LG: Harland Gunn-Unknown/never started  or
       Peter Konz-Poor as a Center
C:   Joe Hawley-Average
RG: Jon Asamoah-Good
RT: Ryan Schraeder-Average
Tevin Coleman 
Devonta Freeman-Young/2014 4th RD

Pass Rusher:  They need a young edge rusher with speed to get after Drew Brees and Cam Newton. New coach Dan Quinn was the Defensive Coordinator of Seattle.  He wants fast guys with high motors.
TE:  Tony Gonzalez retired after 2013, they failed to find an adequate replacement last year.
MLB:  Quinn will want a fast stud MLB similar to his MLB in Seattle, Bobby Wagner.
#2 WR:  Jones is a star but Roddy will be 34 next year. Losing Harry Douglas will hurt more than most Falcons fans think.
RB:  New coordinator Kyle Shanahan wants to be more balanced, he will need an every down back to achieve that.
LG Upgrade
DB Depth

8. Vic Beasley-OLB/DE/EDGE-Clemson
42. Jalen Collins-CB-LSU
73. Tevin Coleman-RB-Indiana

107. Justin Hardy-WR-East Carolina
137. Grady Jarrett-DT-Clemson
225. Jake Rodgers-OT-Eastern Washington
249. Akeem King-S/CB-San Jose State

The Falcons had a great draft to say the least. They filled their biggest need by taking pass rusher Vic Beasley. They also added two key play makers on offense in Coleman and Hardy. Coleman should be their starting RB to start the season. They also added to good players on defense in Collins and Jarrett. Like the Giants. if the Falcons can protect Matt Ryan, they should find themselves fighting for the NFC South division title.

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