Saturday, May 2, 2015

2015 NFL Draft Recap/New Depth Charts: THE CONTENDERS

Instead of doing pointless "draft grades" I just plugged in key draft picks to see how they fit on their new team

Here is my color code:
Has a good chance to be a starter by next season 
Quality depth 
Need not addressed in the draft 

These are teams that Vegas odds project will win 9.5 or more games 
Head Coach/GM: Bill Belicheck is both
Offensive Coordinator/Style: Josh McDaniels/Spread
Pass/Run Ratio: 58.2/41.8
Defensive Coordinator/Base Scheme and Coverage
Matt Patricia/Hybrid 4-3 Man
Offensive Stars: Tom Brady-QB and Rob Gronkowski
Defensive Stars: Jamie Collins-LB, Devin McCourty and Dont'a Hightower
Position Analysis
Tom Brady-Elite
Pass Rush/DE: 
RDE: Chandler Jones-Good
LDE: Rob Ninkovich-Good
#3 DE: Jabaal Sheard-New/Good
Trey Flowers
Geneo Grissom
Interior D-Line: 
DT: Alan Branch-New/Below Average
DT: Sealver Siliga-Average
DT: Dominigue Easley-Young/2014 1st RD
Malcom Brown
SLB: Jamie Collins-Very Good
MLB; Jerod Mayo-Good/Very Good when healthy
WLB: Dont'a Hightower-Very Good
LCB: Logan Ryan-Young/2013 3rd RD
RCB: Alfonzo Dennard-Average
Slot CB: Kyle Arrington-Average
SS: Patrick Chung-Good
Jordan Richards
FS: Devin McCourty-Elite
WR: Julian Edelman-Good
WR: Brandon LaFell-Average
Slot WR: Danny Amendola-Average
TE: Rob Gronkowski-Elite, arguably the best TE in the NFL
LT: Nate Solder-Good
LG: Josh Kline-Average
C:   Bryan Stork-Young/2014 4th RD
RG: Ryan Wendell-Below Average  or
      Marcus Cannon-Below Average
RT: Sebastian Vollmer-Very Good
Tre Jackson
Shaquille Mason
LeGarrette Blount-Good
Travaris Cadet-New/Unproven
Brandon Bolden-Average

RG and LG:  The Pats are good at both OT spots and rookie Bryan Stork looked like a solid starter last year. However both guard spots need major upgrades. Look for New England to use an early pick to help fix the line.
DT:  They lost Vince Wilfork and it will take multiple players to replace a star like that.
DB Depth:  Once they knew they were losing Revis, it was imperative that they keep McCourty, still more help is needed on the back end.
Speed WR:  Gronk is a superstar and is pretty much unstoppable in the Red Zone. Edleman is great underneath and LaFell is good at working the sidelines. They can still use a deep threat to stretch the defense and prevent double teams on Gronk and Edelman.

32. Malcom Brown-DT-Texas
64. Jordan Richards-SS-Stanford
97. Geneo Grissom-OLB/DE/EDGE-Oklahoma
101. Trey Flowers-DE/EDGE-Arkansas
111. Tre Jackson-OG-Florida State
131. Shaquille Mason-C-Georgia Tech
166. Joe Cardona-LONG SNAPPER-Navy
178. Matt Wells-WLB-Mississippi State
202. A.J. Derby-TE-Arkansas
247. Darryl Roberts-CB-Marshall
253. Xzavier Dickson-OLB/DE/EDGE-Alabama

Adding Brown helps ease the loss of Vince Wilfork. Richards is a smart box safety that will backup Chung, can be used in sub packages and will a beast on special teams. Belicheck was typical Belicheck, adding great depth on both the offensive line and defensive line.

Head Coach/GM: Pete Carroll/John Schneider
Offensive Coordinator/Style: Darrell Bevell/Vertical-Ball Control
Pass/Run Ratio: 46.4/53.6
Defensive Coordinator/Base Scheme and Coverage
Kris Richard (new)/4-3 Press Zone with mostly Cover 1
Offensive Stars: Marshawn Lynch-RB, Jimmy Graham-TE and Russell Wilson-QB
Defensive Stars: Earl Thomas-FS, Richard Sherman-CB, Bobby Wagner-MLB and Kam Chancellor
Position Analysis
Russell Wilson-Very Good
Pass Rush/DE: 
RDE: Cliff Avril-Very Good
LDE: Michael Bennett-Very Good
Frank Clark
Interior D-Line: 
RDT: Brandon Mebane-Good
LDT: Tony McDaniel-Average
DT: Jordan Hill-Young/2013 3rd RD/Average so far
OLB: KJ Wright-Very Good
MLB: Bobby Wagner-Very Good/Elite
OLB: Bruce Irvin-Good
LCB: Richard Sherman-Elite
RCB: Cary Williams-New/Average
Slot CB: Jeremy Lane-Average
Tye Smith
SS: Kam Chancellor-Very Good
FS: Earl Thomas-Elite
WR: Doug Baldwin-Average
WR: Jermaine Kearse-Average
Tyler Lockett
TE 1: Jimmy Grahame-New/Elite, arguably the best TE in the NFL
TE 2: Luke Wilson-Young/2013 5th RD
LT: Russell Okung-Good
LG: CJ Davis-New/Below Average
C:  Lemuel Jeanpierre-Below Average
RG: JR Sweezy-Below Average
RT: Justin Britt-Below Average
Terry Poole
Mark Glowinski
Marshawn Lynch-Elite
Robert Turbin-Average

O-Line Starters and Depth:  Okung is good, but the rest of the line is average.  Expect multiple picks in the middle rounds to help improve the line.
WR:  They added a superstar TE in Graham. They could use another play make on the outside.
D-Line Depth:  Seattle couldn't get any pressure on Tom Brady in the Super Bowl once Cliff Avril got injured. Pete Carroll will look to find another speed rusher in the late rounds.
DB Depth:  The strength of the team is the secondary. The starters are great, maybe the best in the league, but more depth is needed

63. Frank Clark-DE/EDGE-Michigan
69. Tyler Lockett-WR/KR-Kansas State
130. Terry Poole-OT/OG-San Diego State
134. Mark Glowinski-OG-West Virginia
170. Tye Smith-CB-Towson
209. Obum Gwacham-DE/EDGE-Oregon State
214. Kristjan Sokoli-5T/DE/DT-Buffalo
248. Ryan Murphy-FS-Oregon State

Lockett could end up being a real steal in the 3rd round, he's already as much talent as any WR on their roster. He will be their return man from day one. He could end up being Percy Harvin without the character/injury issues. Clark is a good player with off the field questions. Both Poole and Glowinski will come in a compete for starting jobs. Pete Carroll loves big corners and he added another one in Tye Smith.

Head Coach/GM: Mike McCarthy/Ted Thompson
Offensive Coordinator/Style: Tom Clements is the Associate Head Coach and will call plays while Edgar Bennett is the Offensive Coordinator
Spread and West Coast-Balanced
Pass/Run Ratio: 55.2/44.8
Defensive Coordinator/Base Scheme and Coverage
Dom Capers/3-4 Press Man
Offensive Stars: Aaron Rodgers-QB, Jordy Nelson-WR, Eddie Lacy-RB and Josh Sitton-LG
Defensive Stars: Clay Matthews-LB, Julius Peppers-OLB/DE, Casey Hayward
Position Analysis
Aaron Rodgers-Elite
Brett Hundley
Pass Rush/OLB: 
ROLB/DE: Julius Peppers-Very Good
ILB/OLB: Clay Matthews-Very Good
OLB: Nick Perry-Average
Interior D-Line: 
5T/LDE: Datone Jones-Young/2013 1st RD/Average so far
NT:  BJ Raji-Average
3T/RDE: Mike Daniels-Very Good
DT/NT backup: Josh Boyd-Young/2013 5th RD
LILB: Carl Bradford-Young/2014 4th RD
RILB: Sam Barrington-Young/2013 7th RD
Jake Ryan
LCB: Casey Hayward-Very Good
RCB: Sam Shields-Good
Slot CB: Micah Hyde-Average
Quinten Rollins
SS: Morgan Burnett-Good
FS: Ha Ha Clinton Dix-Young/2014 2st RD
Damarious Randall
WR: Jordy Nelson-Elite
WR: Randall Cobb-Very Good
#3 WR: Davante Adams-Young/2014 2nd RD
Ty Montgomery
TE: Andrew Quarless-Average
LT: David Bakhtari-Average
LG: Josh Sitton-Elite
C:   Corey Linsley-Good
RG: TJ Lang-Very Good
RT: Bryan Bulaga-Good
Eddie Lacy-Very Good/almost Elite/Young/2013 2nd RD
James Starks-Average

Both ILB's:  They had to move Clay Matthews inside last year due to lack of skill inside. It helped the defense as a whole but took away from his pass rush ability on the outside. Finding a play maker or two at ILB is draft priority number one.
D-Line Depth:  Datone Jones has been a disappointment so far and BJ Raji isn' the same impact player he was two years ago.
DB Depth:  The starters are good but they lost crucial depth in Davon House and Tramon Williams. Along with that. Casey Hayward will be a free agent next year and will want more money than the Packers are willing to spend
Backup QB:  Matt Flynn is still a free agent and Scott Tolzien is the only other QB on the current roster.
Scat Back/Kick Returner:  Lacy and Starks are usually enough, but if they were to add a scat back, it would add another element the the best offense in the league.

30. Damarious Randall-FS-Arizona State
62. Quinten Rollins-CB-Miami (Ohio)
94. Ty Montgomery-WR/KR-Stanford

129. Jake Ryan-ILB/WLB-Michigan
147. Brett Hundley-QB-UCLA
206. Aaron Ripkowski-FB-Oklahoma
210. Christian Ringo-DT/DE/LONG SNAPPER-UL Lafayette
213. Kennard Backman-TE-UAB

4th round pick Jake Ryan has the best chance of any draft pick to become a week one starter. He might not be the play maker they need at ILB but he's a blue collar player that can provide leadership. He could end up being this year's Chris Borland. The Pack added a lot of depth to an already solid secondary. Casey Hayward will be a free agent after next year and now may become an interesting trade chip. By taking Montgomery they will no longer need Randall Cobb to return kicks. Hundley will battle Scott Tolzien for the right to become Aaron Rodgers backup.

Head Coach/GM: Chuck Pagano/Ryan Grigson
Offensive Coordinator/Style: Pep Hamilton/Spread-Pass Heavy
Pass/Run Ratio: 61.4/38.6
Defensive Coordinator/Base Scheme and Coverage
Greg Manusky/3-4 Cover 1
Offensive Star: Andrew Luck-QB
Defensive Stars: Robert Mathins-OLB and Vontae Davis-CB
Position Analysis
Andrew Luck-Elite
Pass Rush/OLB: 
ROLB: Robert Mathins-Very Good
LOLB: Trent Cole-New/Good
#3 OLB: Erik Walden-Average
Interior D-Line: 
5T/DE: Kendall Langford-New/Average
Henry Anderson
NT:  Josh Chapman-Average
David Parry
3T/DT: Arthur Jones-Below Average
LILB: De'Qwell Jackson-Below Average
RILB: Jerrell Freeman-Average
ILB:  Nate Irving-New/Unproven
LCB: Greg Toler-Average
RCB: Vontae Davis-Elite
D'Joun Smith
SS: Mike Adams-Good
FS: Dwight Lowery-New/Average
Clayton Geathers
WR: Andre Johnson-New/Good
WR: Donte Monfrief-Young/2014 3rd RD
Slot WR:  TY Hilton-Very Good/almost Elite
Phillip Dorsett
TE 1: Dwayne Allen-Good
TE 2: Coby Fleener-Average
LT: Anthony Castonzo-Good
LG: Jack Mewhort-Young/2014 2nd RD
C:   Jonotthan Harrison-Young/2014 Undrafted
RG: Todd Herremans-New/Average
RT: Gosder Cherilus-Below Average
Frank Gore-New/Good
Boom Herron-Below Average
Josh Robinson

O-Line Depth:  Castonzo is good, Mewhort showed flashes as a rookie and signing Herremans was a good move. However they need major upgrades at RT and C. With his ability to play C and OT, Cameron Irving would be the perfect player to target at #29
D-Line Depth:  They signed Langford to play the five technique but upgrades are needed up front at the 3 technique and nose tackle.
DB Depth:  Davis' is a star and deserves to be mentioned among the best corners in the league along with Revis, Sherman, Haden and Peterson. The rest of the secondary is very suspect.
RB:  Gore may be the 2015 answer, but they need a young back for the future.
Backup QB:  Current backup Matt Hasselbeck will be 40 this year.
ILB Upgrades

29. Phillip Dorsett-WR/KR-Miami
65. D'Joun Smith-CB-Florida Atlantic

93. Henry Anderson-5T/DE-Stanford
109. Clayton Geathers-SS-UCF
151. David Parry-NT/DT-Stanford
205. Josh Robinson-RB-Mississippi State
207. Amarlo Herrera ILB Georgia
255. Denzelle Good-OT-Mars Hill

D'Joun Smith will compete with Greg Toler for the #2 Corner and with Darius Butler for the slot corner spot. Dorsett gives Andrew Luck yet another play maker on offense. Dorsett may have more value as a kick returner as a rookie than as a WR. Anderson is the perfect fit as a 5 tech DE, he will battle Kendall Langford for a starting job. The Colts also added a solid backup RB in Robinson. A  solid draft overall, but when you have a franchise QB like Luck, you really wish they would of added depth to the O-Line before the 7th round.

Head Coach/GM: Gary Kubiak/John Elway
Offensive Coordinator/Style: Rick Dennison/West Coast, but now will be pass heavy with Peyton Manning  
Pass/Run Ratio: 57.8/42.2
Defensive Coordinator/Base Scheme and Coverage
Wade Phillips (new)/3-4 Press Man
Offensive Star: Peyton Manning-QB and Demaryius Thomas-WR
Defensive Star: Von Miller-OLB and Chris Harris Jr.-CB
Position Analysis
Peyton Manning-Very Good, has slightly dropped from Elite
Pass Rush/OLB: 
ROLB: DeMarcus Ware-Very Good
LOLB: Von Miller-Elite
Shane Ray
Interior D-Line: 
RDE: Malik Jackson-Very Good
NT:  Sylvester Williams-Young/2013 1st RD/Below Average so far
Darius Kilgo
LDE: Derek Wolfe-Below Average
LILB: Danny Trevathan-Good
RILB: Brandon M. Marshall-Good
LCB: Aqib Talib-Good
RCB: Chris Harris jr-Elite
Slot CB: Bradley Roby-Young/2014 1st RD
Lorenzo Doss
SS: TJ Ward-Very Good
FS: Darian Stewart-New/Unproven
WR: Demaryius Thomas-Elite
WR: Andre Caldwell-Below Average
Slot WR: Emmanuel Sanders-Very Good
#4 WR: Cody Latimer-Young/2014 2nd RD
TE 1: Owen Daniels-New/Average/Good when healthy
TE 2: Virgil Green-Unproven
Jeff Heuerman
LT: Ryan Clady-Good
LG: Jon Halapio-New/Unproven
C:   Manny Ramirez-Average
RG: Louis Vasquez-Very Good
RT: Chris Clark-Average
Ty Sambrailo
Max Garcia
CJ Anderson-Very Good
Montee Ball-Average

O-Line Depth:  They are set at LT and RG but the rest of the line is shaky. Consecutive off season losses of guards Orlando Franklin and Zane Beadles have hurt.  Upgrades at RT and LG can be made in the draft
D-Line Depth :  Losing 325 pound nose tackle Terrance "Pot Roast" Knighton was another huge loss (both literally and figuratively).  Depth needs to be added on the defensive front as well
QB:  Peyton is 39 and we still don't know if they are sold on Brock Osweiler
Kicker:  As a Super Bowl contender, you need to be good in all three aspects of the game. The Broncos had issues replacing Matt Prater last year
#3 Pass Rusher:  You can never have enough guys to put pressure on the opposing QB 
TE Upgrade 

23. Shane Ray-DE/OLB/EDGE-Missouri
59. Ty Sambrailo-OT-Colorado State
92 Jeff Heuerman-TE-Ohio State
133. Max Garcia-C/OG-Florida
164. Lorenzo Doss-CB-Tulane
203. Darius Kilgo-NT/DT-Maryland
250. Trevor Siemian-QB-Northwestern
251. Taurean Nixon-CB-Tulane
252. Josh Furman-SS-Oklahoma State

The Ray pick makes a ton of sense. I mocked him to Denver. The Broncos were smart to trade up to get him. Sambrailo will complete with Chris Clark at RT and Jon Halapio at LG. Garcia adds interior O-Line depth. The Broncos are making sure that Peyton has more protection.

Head Coach/GM: Jason Garrett/Jerry Jones
Offensive Coordinator/Style: Scott Linehan/Vertical-Ball Control in 2014, will be more Balanced with DeMarco Murray gone
Pass/Run Ratio: 48.4/51.6 in 2014 63.6/36.4 in 2013
May lean more towards 2013 if they don't draft an adequate RB
Defensive Coordinator/Base Scheme and Coverage
Rod Marinelli/4-3 Tampa 2
Offensive Stars: Tony Romo-QB, Jason Witten-TE, Dez Bryant-WR and Tyron Smith-LT
Defensive Star: Sean Lee-MLB
Position Analysis
Tony Romo-Good
Pass Rush/D-Line: 
RDE; Greg Hardy-Very Good/New (Is still on the NFL Exempt List and his playing status for 2015 is is not yet known)
LDE Jeremy Mincy-Average
3T/DT: Tyrone Crawford-Good
NT: Josh Brent-Average
Young DE: DeMarcus Lawrence-Young/2014 2nd RD
Randy Gregory
SLB: Sean Lee-Very Good
MLB: Rolando McClain-Good
WLB: Anthony Hitchens-Below Average
Damien Wilson
LCB: Brandon Carr-Average/Good
RCB: Morris Claiborne-Below Average
Slot CB: Orlando Scandrick-Very Good
Byron Jones
SS: Barry Church-Average
FS: JJ Wilcox-Below Average
WR: Dez Bryant-Elite
WR: Terrance Williams-Average
Slot WR: Cole Beasley-Average
TE: Jason Witten-Elite
LT: Tyron Smith-Elite, arguably the best OT in the NFL
LG: Ronald Leary-Average
C:   Travis Frederick-Very Good/Young/2013 1st RD/Elite potential
RG: Zack Martin-Very Good/Young/2014 1st RD/Elite potential
RT: Doug Free-Average
Chaz Green
Lance Dunbar or Joseph Randle (both unproven)

RB:  Murray is gone, they need a replacement, it's just that simple. Jerry Jones will be ecstatic if either Todd Gurley or Melvin Gordon is there at #27. Never rule out a trade up with Dallas if the price is right.
Both Safeties:  It's almost as if Dallas is competing with the Giants for worst safety duo in the league, no wonder the NFC East teams score so much when they play each other
NT:  Crawford was good as the 3 technique last year, he needs a big body nose tackle to help him on the inside.
CB:  Claiborne has been a bust since being drafted in the top 10 in 2012
WLB:  Lee and McClain are a nice duo but they need a better weak side backer. They will look to get someone that's good in coverage.
O-Line Depth:  They have the best LT, RG, C trio in the league.  However they can use some competition at the other 2 spots

27. Byron Jones-CB/FS-Connecticut
60. Randy Gregory-OLB/SLB/EDGE-Nebraska
91. Chaz Green-OT/RT-Florida
127. Damien Wilson-ILB-Minnesota
163. Ryan Russell-DE/EDGE-Purdue
236. Mark Nzeocha-WLB/OLB-Wyoming
243. Laurence Gibson-OT-Virginia Tech
246. Geoff Swaim-TE-Texas

Byron Jones is a GREAT pick and Randy Gregory is a top 10 talent that could end up being a major steal. They never picked a RB. I guess they are sold on the Joseph Randle/Darren McFadden duo to replace DeMarco Murray. They also ignored a glaring need at both safety spots. The picks of Jones and Gregory may payoff in the long run, but for a team with Super Bowl aspirations, you would of liked to see them fill their glaring needs with impact players.

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