Sunday, March 16, 2014

NCAA 2014 The Blind Bubble

It's Selection Sunday!!!!!!!!!!!  Here is how I rank the bubble teams without an bias using the blind bubble.

Key:
Computer Average is the average of RPI, BPI and Ken Pom rankings
SOS is strength of schedule
The records are vs. the RPI rankings NOT the AP or coaches poll.


Team A (23-11)
Computer Average: 41.6
Road/Neutral: 9-10
Last 12: 10-2
Top 25: 1-5
26-50: 2-1
51-100: 5-1
Sub 100 losses: 4 (at 129, at 158, at 174, at 175)
SOS: 17
The Good: Computer numbers and good
The Bad: 4 horrible losses

Team B (25-6)
Computer Average: 53.3
Road/Neutral: 13-6
Last 12: 9-3
1-25: 0-1
26-50: 1-0
51-100: 2-3
Sub 100 losses: 2 (at 152, at 126)
SOS: 127
The Good: Computer numbers and overall record
The Bad: Bad schedule with only one quality win @ #35

Team C (19-12)
Computer Average: 50.3
Road/Neutral: 4-11
Last 12: 9-3
1-25: 3-7
26-50: 0-0
51-100: 4-2
Sub 100 losses: 3 (152-neutral, at 140, at 111)  
SOS: 27
The Good: 3 top 25 wins and played a very tough schedule
The Bad: 3 bad losses, bad road/neutral record

Team D (23-10)
Computer Average: 47.0
Road Neutral: 9-6
Last 12: 10-2
1-25: 2-1
26-50: 2-5
51-100: 6-1
Sub 100 losses: 3 (at 133, 154 home, at 171)
SOS: 54
The Good: Very good as of late, 4 top 50 wins
The Bad: 3 sub 100 losses

Team E (21-11)
Computer Average: 42.3
Road/Neutral: 5-10
Last 12: 6-6
1-25: 1-3 (#2 team in nation)
26-50: 3-4
51-100: 4-1
Sub 100 losses: 3 (110-neutral, at 103, 101 home)
SOS: 58
The Good: 4 top 50 wins including a top 5 win
The Bad: Very Average everything, nothing stands out

Team F (21-12)
Computer Average: 48.0
Road/Neutral: 6-11
Last 12 6-6
1-25: 2-4 (top 10 win)
26-50: 1-2
51-100: 5-3
Sub 100 losses: 3 (171-neutral, swept by the #125 team)
SOS: 40
The Good: 2 top 25 wins including a neutral site win over the #11 team)
The Bad: 3 bad losses, bad road team

Team G (20-13)
Computer Average: 54.6
Road/Neutral: 4-10
Last 12; 5-7
1-25: 2-7
26-50: 1-2
51-100: 3-2
Sub 100 losses: 2 (at 140, 123 home)
SOS: 6
The Good: tough schedule with 2 great wins
The Bad: struggling late and bad road/neutral record

Team H (22-11)
Computer Average: 59.6
Road/Neutral: 6-9
Last 12: 6-6
1-25: 0-3
26-50: 2-1
51-100: 5-5
Sub 100 losses: 2 (at 124, at 114)
SOS: 47
The Good: 2 top 50 wins
The Bad: computer numbers, no top 25 wins
 3-7 4-2 117 144 6-6 1-3 1-1 5-5 10-2 5-0 0-0 50

Team I (20-13)
Computer Average: 49.0
Road/neutral: 6-7
Last 12 8-4
1-25: 1-5
26-50: 0-2
51-100: 5-2
Sub 100 losses: 2 (at 151, 111-neutral)
SOS: 64
The Good: Playing well lately
The Bad: only 1 top 50 win with 8 chances, average computer numbers

Team J (21-13)
Computer Average: 61-6
Last: 7-5
1-25: 1-6
26-50: 2-2
51-100: 3-1
Sub 100 losses: 3 (at 112, 110-home, 102-home)
SOS: 21
The Good: schedule and a top 10 win
The Bad: computer numbers and blew many chances at quality wins

Team K (19-13)
Computer Average: 46.3
Road/neutral: 10-8
Last 12: 6-6
1-25: 2-8
26-50: 1-0
51-100: 2-4
Sub 100 losses: 1 (110 home)
SOS: 31
The Good: schedule with 2 good wins, above 500 road/neutral
The Bad: Very average everywhere, blew many chances at quality wins

Team L (27-7)
Computer Average: 48.6
Road/neutral: 14-6
Last 12: 10-2
1-25: 0-0
26-50: 2-2
51-100: 3-4
Sub 100 losses: 1 (at 217)
SOS: 213
The Good: last 12, road record, overall record
The Bad: you just CAN'T lose to a sub 200 team and a horrible SOS

Team M (19-13)
Computer Average: 67.0
Road Neutral: 5-9
Last 12: 5-7
1-25: 1-5 (top 3 win)
26-50: 3-5
51-100: 1-1
Sub 100 losses: 2 (at 169, at 107)
SOS: 42
The Good: a top 3 win and 4 top 50 wins
The Bad: Horrible computer numbers, bad in last 12, below average on the road



My Rankings:
Team E
Team C
Team D
Team F
Team A
Team J
Team I
Team K
Team B
Team G
Team L
Team H
Team M

Last 5 in:
Team E is Arizona St
Team C is Nebraska
Team D is Dayton
Team F is Xavier
Team A is BYU

First 4 Out:
Team J is NC St
Team H is St. John's
Team K is FSU
Team B is Southern Miss

Next 4 Out
Team G is Minnesota
Team L is Louisiana Tech '
Team H is Missouri
Team M is CAL

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